AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Arizona State winning 44.0% of simulations, and Texas State 56.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Arizona State commits fewer turnovers in 36.0% of simulations and they go on to win 52.0% when they take care of the ball. Texas State wins 69.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Trenton Bourguet is averaging 41.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. Malik Hornsby is averaging 260.0 passing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TXST +1.0 --- Over/Under line is 58.5
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Arizona State | ATS RECORD | Texas State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 4-1-0 | All Games | 2-1-0 | Arizona State |
| Road + Neutral Field | 10-10-00 | Home Games | 1-1-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 1-1-0 | When Favored | 2-1-0 | Arizona State |
| Non-Conference Opp | 4-1-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 1-1-0 | Arizona State |
| Opp .500+ Record | 3-1-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 1-1-0 | Arizona State |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Arizona State | ATS RECORD | Texas State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 6-5-0 | All Games | 5-7-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 30-10-00 | Home Games | 1-4-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 6-4-0 | When Favored | 2-4-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 0-2-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 4-1-0 | No Edge |
| Opp .500+ Record | 5-5-0 | Opp Under .500 | 2-3-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Arizona State | O-U-P RECORD | Texas State | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 2-3-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 0-2-1 | UNDER |
| On Road | 0-2-0 | At Home | 0-1-1 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 5-6-0 | All Totals Last Season | 6-6-0 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 1-3-0 | At Home Last Season | 2-3-0 | UNDER |
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