Navigating the college football betting world can be tough. Many skilled sports investors will stay away from the sport because it can be too unpredictable. Unlike NFL betting, the college game is populated with kinds 18-21 who have a wealth of distractions at their finger tips on a daily basis.
If you are going to wager on college football, it is important to avoid the pitfalls. Here are the three (3) biggest mistakes people make when betting on college football:
1. Bet the Program, Not the Team
Other than college basketball, college football has more turnover than every other sport we cover. College players have short statistical resume’s and it is harder to project what a new crop of starters will produce. College football is also built on elitism, where powerhouse programs get better publicity and run than the average programs.
Our experience has shown that players often bet a name program, without really looking at that year’s team. A great example is the 2010 Texas Longhorns. They were a season removed from playing for the National Championship and have as good a pedigree as any team in the sport. However, beyond their uniforms, they were replacing key players at skill positions, including their quarterback. Betting on Texas “because their Texas” probably cost you a lot of money.
2. Betting on a Huge Favorite
Each week, there are a ton of mismatches in college football and it reflects in the college football betting lines. Unlike the NFL which is ruled by parity, there are some huge spreads each week in college football. Typically, you should avoid big spreads of 42-points or more.
Any time you see such a high betting line, it immediately brings in a lot of variables. A really good team is playing a really bad team. If you are going to lay the points (meaning take the favorite), how can you be sure that your team is properly motivated? If they get up a lot of points early, do they bench their starters? Do they stop passing the ball because they don’t want to run up the score? It is too many variables.
The same goes for big underdogs. There is a reason that a team is a six or more touchdown favorite, and it is crazy to put hard earned money on that team. While taking the points is not a bad idea, often times when the actual number in a game that would warrant a 42-point or more spread is guesswork. When taking a six touchdown underdog, you are hoping that good things will happen to a bad team, and bad things will happen to a good team. It is not a smart mix.
3. Over Betting Thursday and Saturday Night’s
A running theme with AccuScore college football betting systems, and establishing one suits your wagering style. We are not here to take the fun out of wagering on sports, however we do feel you need to be smart about where you put your money.
There is a big difference between being smart in your plays and being an action junky. This challenges the player the most on Thursday night where there is one featured game, and Saturday night when you can either chase losses or press wins. To be successful as a sports investor, you need to limit your need for action and get your chips in on games that fit your betting system.
Make sure to look at the entire football slate on Tuesday or Wednesday without knowing the day’s or times for each game. Do your research without knowing those times to get a true sense of what games jump out to you. If the game’s that fit your betting system are on Thursday or Saturday night, play it for your usual unit. If the Thursday and Saturday night slate does not have a game that fits your system and you still want to get it on, play it for half a unit instead of the whole unit.