AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Connecticut winning 45.0% of simulations, and Massachusetts 55.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Connecticut commits fewer turnovers in 13.0% of simulations and they go on to win 60.0% when they take care of the ball. Massachusetts wins 62.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Victor Rosa is averaging 100.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. Kay'Ron Adams is averaging 117.0 rushing yards per sim. if (he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (0.0% chance) then he helps his team win 0%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UMASS +1.5 --- Over/Under line is 52.0
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Connecticut | ATS RECORD | Massachusetts | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 5-5-1 | All Games | 5-6-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 30-30-00 | Home Games | 1-4-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 4-4-1 | When Favored | 0-4-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 4-5-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 4-6-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 2-0-1 | Opp Under .500 | 2-4-0 | Connecticut |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Connecticut | ATS RECORD | Massachusetts | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 7-5-0 | All Games | 4-7-0 | No Edge |
| Road + Neutral Field | 20-40-00 | Home Games | 1-3-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 5-3-0 | When Favored | 0-1-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 7-5-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 4-6-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 5-1-0 | Opp Under .500 | 3-4-0 | No Edge |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Connecticut | O-U-P RECORD | Massachusetts | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 3-6-1 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 7-3-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 2-3-0 | At Home | 3-1-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 4-7-0 | All Totals Last Season | 4-7-0 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 2-4-0 | At Home Last Season | 2-2-0 | UNDER |
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