By Tomi Rantanen
Wild Card race heats up entering the final week
With only about a week full of games to play in the regular season, the MLB divisional winners have clinched their post-season berths – but the coveted Wild Card seeds are still up for grabs. In both AL and NL the race is still wide open.
Especially in the American League it is still anyone’s game, while National League is narrowed down to three teams fighting for two spots. In American League, they’ve an amazing 10 teams over the 0.500 mark and six teams with a mathematical chance of making the playoffs
Here’s how the Accuscore simulations play out for the remainder of the regular season:
National League playoff probabilities:
|
Team
|
Games Played
|
Wins
|
Accuscore Playoff %
|
|
New York Mets
|
158
|
84
|
84.21%
|
|
San Francisco Giants
|
157
|
83
|
80.38%
|
|
St. Louis Cardinals
|
157
|
82
|
33.59%
|
The table seems set for Mets and Giants, but Cardinals still possess an outside chance if either of the two stumbles before the finish line. Miami Marlins out, even if they still have theoretical chance of 0.05%.
American League playoff probabilities:
|
Team
|
Games Played
|
Wins
|
Accuscore Playoff %
|
|
Toronto Blue Jays
|
157
|
87
|
98.61%
|
|
Baltimore Orioles
|
157
|
85
|
50.65%
|
|
Detroit Tigers
|
157
|
84
|
37.43%
|
|
Seattle Mariners
|
158
|
84
|
10.2%
|
|
Houston Astros
|
159
|
83
|
0.81%
|
|
New York Yankees
|
157
|
81
|
0.11%
|
Although American League has quite a bit more contest for the wild card spots, it seems to be set between three teams. Toronto has all but clinched the spot, but there’s still an outside chance of them dropping the ball. Baltimore are in a tougher spot, being chased by Tigers and Mariners with Astros and Yankees still hanging on, if only by the skin of their teeth.
As we approach the climax of the season, each and every game counts and might turn out to be the decider. Accuscore will be there for the rest of the regular season as well as post-season until the World Series is finished! Join us at accuscore.com and make the best out of the MLB.
