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MLB • SUN, SEP 13 • 16:10
HughesvsJobe
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 50%○ Sharp $
COL
ColoradoRockies
55-9351%
@
DET
DetroitTigers
69-7949%
Proj: 4.1–3.8
Run Line
COL +1.5 (-130)
EV +7.7%
rising
Moneyline
COL ML (+155)
EV +14.8%
rising
Total
U 9 (-120)
EV +10.8%
Record on picks like this · Moneyline · no qualifying pattern
50-60% win probability · 7.5%+ EV · 1y
50%+16.4%n=327

The Colorado Rockies visit Detroit Tigers in a coin-flip matchup that hinges on run prevention.

MLB • SUN, SEP 13 • 17:35● Live
KC
Kansas CityRoyals
66-83
@
BOS
Boston RedSox
81-68
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MLB • SUN, SEP 13 • 17:35● Live
LAA
Los AngelesAngels
56-92
@
WAS
WashingtonNationals
69-81
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MLB • SUN, SEP 13 • 17:35● Live
NYM
New YorkMets
69-79
@
NYY
New YorkYankees
85-63
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LIVE
MLB • SUN, SEP 13 • 17:35
PaintervsHolmes
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 51%○ Sharp $
PHI
PhiladelphiaPhillies
82-6737%
@
ATL
AtlantaBraves
88-6163%
Proj: 3.5–4.4
Run Line
ATL -1.5 (+155)
EV +9.5%
fading
Moneyline
ATL -130
EV +5.9%
rising
Total
Under 9.5 (-115)
EV +16.5%
fading
Record on picks like this · Total · no qualifying pattern
model within 0-1 of the line · Under · 1m
51%-2.4%n=45
Money
PHI
91%
ATL
9%
PHI
72%
ATL
28%
OVR
94%
UND
6%
Bets
PHI
31%
ATL
69%
PHI
58%
ATL
42%
OVR
60%
UND
40%

The Philadelphia Phillies visit Atlanta to face a Braves team that holds a clear edge in the simulation.

MLB • SUN, SEP 13 • 17:37● Live
BAL
BaltimoreOrioles
72-77
@
TOR
Toronto BlueJays
74-75
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MLB • SUN, SEP 13 • 17:40In 3m
LAD
Los AngelesDodgers
90-58
@
MIA
MiamiMarlins
73-76
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MLB • SUN, SEP 13 • 17:40In 3m
HOU
HoustonAstros
75-74
@
TB
Tampa BayRays
89-59
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MLB • SUN, SEP 13 • 18:10In 33m
CIN
CincinnatiReds
69-79
@
MIL
MilwaukeeBrewers
93-56
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MLB • SUN, SEP 13 • 18:10In 33m
Tanner Bibeevs—
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 52%○ Sharp $
CLE
ClevelandGuardians
75-7441%
@
MIN
MinnesotaTwins
70-7859%
Proj: 2.6–3.2
Run Line
MIN -1.5 (+169)
EV +5.2%
rising
Moneyline
MIN ML (-123)
EV +3.5%
rising
Total
U 8 (-120)
EV +18.0%
fading
Record on picks like this · Moneyline · no qualifying pattern
50-60% win probability · 3–4.5% EV · 1m
52%+2.4%n=21
Money
CLE
8%
MIN
92%
CLE
43%
MIN
57%
OVR
97%
UND
3%
Bets
CLE
13%
MIN
88%
CLE
48%
MIN
52%
OVR
60%
UND
40%

The simulation favors Minnesota Twins as hosts against the travelling Cleveland Guardians, though the lean is clear rather than emphatic.

MLB • SUN, SEP 13 • 18:15In 38m
CHW
Chicago WhiteSox
76-72
@
STL
St. LouisCardinals
73-76
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MLB • SUN, SEP 13 • 18:20In 43m
PIT
PittsburghPirates
74-75
@
CHC
ChicagoCubs
83-66
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MLB • SUN, SEP 13 • 20:05In 2h
Bryce MillervsJacob Lopez
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 51%○ Sharp $
SEA
SeattleMariners
70-7948%
@
ATH
Athletics
60-8952%
Proj: 4.4–4.5
Run Line
ATH +1.5 (-137)
EV +5.1%
fading
Moneyline
ATH ML (+118)
EV +6.2%
fading
Total
U 9.5 (-134)
EV +4.0%
fading
Record on picks like this · Moneyline · no qualifying pattern
50-60% win probability · 4.5–7.5% EV · 3y
51%+3.0%n=885

The Seattle Mariners visit Oakland for a near coin-flip with the Athletics, whom the simulation barely favours at home.

MLB • SUN, SEP 13 • 20:10In 3h
Cal QuantrillvsEduardo Rodriguez
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 51%○ Sharp $
TEX
TexasRangers
73-7652%
@
ARI
ArizonaDiamondbacks
79-7048%
Proj: 4.1–3.8
Run Line
TEX +1.5 (-187)
EV +0.4%
fading
Moneyline
TEX +110
EV +4.2%
fading
Total
Under 8.5 (-119)
EV +6.3%
Record on picks like this · Total · no qualifying pattern
model within 0-1 of the line · Under · 1m
51%-2.4%n=45

The Texas Rangers travel to Arizona to face the Arizona Diamondbacks in a coin-flip matchup that the simulation favors barely.

MLB • SUN, SEP 13 • 23:20In 6h
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 51%○ Sharp $
SD
San DiegoPadres
80-6846%
@
SF
San FranciscoGiants
62-8754%
Proj: 3.2–3.4
Run Line
SF +1.5 (-160)
EV +5.8%
Moneyline
SF +108
EV +6.2%
fading
Total
Under 7.5 (-114)
EV +12.1%
fading
Record on picks like this · Total · no qualifying pattern
model within 0-1 of the line · Under · 1m
51%-2.4%n=45

The San Diego Padres visit the San Francisco Giants in a matchup the simulation favours slightly to the home side.

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