By Tomi Rantanen

AccuScore Selection #1:

Detroit Tigers +107 (vs Cleveland Indians)
Kyle Lobstein vs Carlos Carrasco

The Tigers are regular visitors in AccuScore value picks section and have found their way here again. They got beaten badly once by the Indians and are not likely to make the same mistakes again. Despite losing four out of their last five matches, the Tigers possess such quality it’s next to impossible to match. Lobstein pitching provides a necessary edge vs Indians’ batters and AccuScore simulations predict Miguel Cabrera & co. to score enough to beat the Indians. Oddsmakers have set the visitors as favorites, but AccuScore supercomputer picks Detroit by 57.4% probability. Great value in +107 compared to calculated -134!

Tigers are 9-2 vs an opponent with losing record and 4-1 vs Indians.
Indians are 2-5 as road favorite.

AccuScore Selection #2

Miami Marlins +104 (vs Washington Nationals)
Dan Haren vs Gio Gonzalez

The Marlins have impressed so far and have beaten the Nationals twice already. It is always difficult to take the third in a row, especially against a quality team like Nationals but AccuScore simulations predict Marlins to win by 57.8% probability. This would add up to odds of -136, which presents excellent value. When the underdog is predicted to win by higher probability than the oddsmakers initial favorite, it is a good bet.

Nationals are 2-6 on the road and 1-4 as road favorite.
Marlins are 2-0 vs the Nationals and 2-1 as home underdog.

AccuScore Selection #3

Colorado Rockies -120 (vs San Francisco Giants)
Tyler Matzek vs Tim Lincecum

The reigning World Champions have somewhat disappointed early on this season. It’s been difficult with pitching changes and batting is nowhere near you would expect. The Rockies on the other hand have been and are a team nobody knows what to expect. AccuScore supercomputer simulated the game 10 000 times, and predicted the Rockies to win 60.7% of the time, which indicates odds of -154 for the home team. As the oddsmakers have set the odds at -120, there’s nice value to be found on picking the favorites this time!

Rockies are 7-1 vs an opponent with losing record and 4-1 vs the Giants.