The Pittsburgh Pirates are 33-38 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 26-42 on the road this season. The Pirates have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Pirates starter Paul Skenes is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins starter Valente Bellozo. Paul Skenes has a 44% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Valente Bellozo has a 25% chance of a QS. If Paul Skenes has a quality start the Pirates has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 8.2 and he has a 58% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 66%. In Valente Bellozo quality starts the Marlins win 63%. He has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Paul Skenes who averaged 3.28 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 75% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Valente Bellozo who averaged 3.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 67% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 51% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 26-42, 38% -177 | Record at Home | 33-38, 46% -713 | Miami Marlins |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-4, 0% -400 | VS Miami Marlins | 4-0, 100% 436 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| vs Team Under .500 | 16-33, 33% -1395 | vs Team Under .500 | 27-23, 54% 170 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| Record As Road Underdog | 25-41, 38% -156 | Record As Home Favorite | 18-22, 45% -836 | Miami Marlins |
| When Valente Bellozo Starts | 5-2, 71% 456 | When Paul Skenes Starts | 11-7, 61% 179 | Miami Marlins |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-6, 50% 288 | Record at Home | 6-7, 46% -163 | Miami Marlins |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-0 No Games | VS Miami Marlins | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 5-4, 56% 298 | vs Team Under .500 | 6-4, 60% 137 | Miami Marlins |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-5, 55% 388 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-5, 50% -97 | Miami Marlins |
| When Valente Bellozo Starts | 4-1, 80% 442 | When Paul Skenes Starts | 3-2, 60% 22 | Miami Marlins |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 26-40, 39% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 39-32, 55% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-7, 42% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 10-3, 77% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-46, 43% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-33, 57% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Valente Bellozo STARTS | 3-4, 43% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Paul Skenes STARTS | 9-9, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 40-28, 59% +2085 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 34-37, 48% -119 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 7-5, 58% +423 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 6-7, 46% -162
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 42-26, 62% -184 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 32-39, 45% -1387 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 8-4, 67% +199 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 8-5, 62% +191
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 37-24, 61% + 1060 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 31-28, 53% + 20 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 6-6, 50% -60 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 6-6, 50% -60
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