September 09, 2024 3:13 PM CDT

Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates 9/9/2024

AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview  
Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 33-38 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 26-42 on the road this season. The Pirates have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Pirates starter Paul Skenes is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins starter Valente Bellozo. Paul Skenes has a 44% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Valente Bellozo has a 25% chance of a QS. If Paul Skenes has a quality start the Pirates has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 8.2 and he has a 58% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 66%. In Valente Bellozo quality starts the Marlins win 63%. He has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Paul Skenes who averaged 3.28 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 75% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Valente Bellozo who averaged 3.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 67% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 51% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins

Miami MarlinsRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road26-42, 38% -177Record at Home33-38, 46% -713Miami Marlins
VS Pittsburgh Pirates0-4, 0% -400VS Miami Marlins4-0, 100% 436Pittsburgh Pirates
vs Team Under .50016-33, 33% -1395vs Team Under .50027-23, 54% 170Pittsburgh Pirates
Record As Road Underdog25-41, 38% -156Record As Home Favorite18-22, 45% -836Miami Marlins
When Valente Bellozo Starts5-2, 71% 456When Paul Skenes Starts11-7, 61% 179Miami Marlins

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins

Miami MarlinsRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-6, 50% 288Record at Home6-7, 46% -163Miami Marlins
VS Pittsburgh Pirates0-0 No GamesVS Miami Marlins0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5005-4, 56% 298vs Team Under .5006-4, 60% 137Miami Marlins
Record As Road Underdog6-5, 55% 388Record As Home Favorite5-5, 50% -97Miami Marlins
When Valente Bellozo Starts4-1, 80% 442When Paul Skenes Starts3-2, 60% 22Miami Marlins

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Miami MarlinsRECORDPittsburgh PiratesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD26-40, 39% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME39-32, 55% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-7, 42% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS10-3, 77% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-46, 43% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-33, 57% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Valente Bellozo STARTS3-4, 43% OverOVER-UNDER IN Paul Skenes STARTS9-9, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 40-28, 59% +2085 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 34-37, 48% -119 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 7-5, 58% +423 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 6-7, 46% -162

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 42-26, 62% -184 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 32-39, 45% -1387 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 8-4, 67% +199 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 8-5, 62% +191

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 37-24, 61% + 1060 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 31-28, 53% + 20 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 6-6, 50% -60 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 6-6, 50% -60

Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game

Save 10% off membership by using coupon code: PREVIEW
Joomla SEF URLs by Artio