The Houston Astros are 38-37 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Baltimore Orioles who are 48-26 on the road this season. The Astros have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros starter Hunter Brown is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles starter Kyle Gibson. Hunter Brown has a 45% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kyle Gibson has a 34% chance of a QS. If Hunter Brown has a quality start the Astros has a 83% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 66%. In Kyle Gibson quality starts the Orioles win 65%. He has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Yordan Alvarez who averaged 2.8 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 50% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Adley Rutschman who averaged 2.11 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 50% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 48-26, 65% 3679 | Record at Home | 38-37, 51% -1416 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS Houston Astros | 1-2, 33% -94 | VS Baltimore Orioles | 2-1, 67% 75 | Houston Astros |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 50-37, 57% 3111 | vs Team .500 or Better | 35-41, 46% -929 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record As Road Underdog | 28-20, 58% 2870 | Record As Home Favorite | 35-35, 50% -1510 | Baltimore Orioles |
| When Kyle Gibson Starts | 16-14, 53% 36 | When Hunter Brown Starts | 14-13, 52% -348 | Baltimore Orioles |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-2, 80% 446 | Record at Home | 5-9, 36% -579 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS Houston Astros | 0-0 No Games | VS Baltimore Orioles | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-4, 60% 178 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-6, 40% -325 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-1, 67% 140 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-9, 36% -579 | Baltimore Orioles |
| When Kyle Gibson Starts | 2-2, 50% -33 | When Hunter Brown Starts | 2-3, 40% -188 | Baltimore Orioles |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 42-28, 60% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 40-34, 54% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-1, 86% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-6, 57% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-44, 44% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-51, 41% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Kyle Gibson STARTS | 15-15, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Hunter Brown STARTS | 14-12, 54% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 39-35, 53% +818 Houston Astros Home Games: 36-39, 48% -444 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 2-8, 20% -614 Houston Astros Home Games: 6-8, 43% -229
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 38-36, 51% -859 Houston Astros Home Games: 40-35, 53% -914 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 4-6, 40% -303 Houston Astros Home Games: 5-9, 36% -579
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 29-36, 45% -1060 Houston Astros Home Games: 33-28, 54% + 220 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 2-5, 29% -350 Houston Astros Home Games: 6-5, 55% + 50
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