The St. Louis Cardinals are 27-26 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Tampa Bay Rays who are 27-25 on the road this season. The Cardinals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cardinals starter Kyle Gibson is forecasted to have a better game than Rays starter Shane Baz. Kyle Gibson has a 33% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Shane Baz has a 21% chance of a QS. If Kyle Gibson has a quality start the Cardinals has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 66%. In Shane Baz quality starts the Rays win 67%. He has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Kyle Gibson who averaged 3.29 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 71% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Shane Baz who averaged 3.18 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 68% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 54% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 27-25, 52% 273 | Record at Home | 27-26, 51% -322 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-0 No Games | VS Tampa Bay Rays | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 30-30, 50% 52 | vs Team .500 or Better | 28-31, 47% -158 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 18-15, 55% 585 | Record As Home Favorite | 18-19, 49% -568 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| When Shane Baz Starts | 2-3, 40% -62 | When Kyle Gibson Starts | 10-10, 50% -30 | St. Louis Cardinals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-4, 60% 336 | Record at Home | 4-7, 36% -367 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-0 No Games | VS Tampa Bay Rays | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 3-2, 60% 64 | vs Team .500 or Better | 3-9, 25% -580 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-3, 67% 436 | Record As Home Favorite | 2-6, 25% -460 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| When Shane Baz Starts | 2-2, 50% 38 | When Kyle Gibson Starts | 1-1, 50% -4 | Tampa Bay Rays |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 25-25, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 29-24, 55% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-5, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 9-2, 82% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-36, 53% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-36, 54% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Shane Baz STARTS | 2-3, 40% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Kyle Gibson STARTS | 10-9, 53% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 24-28, 46% -70 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 28-25, 53% +366 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 3-7, 30% -346 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 3-8, 27% -534
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 24-28, 46% -928 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 26-27, 49% -615 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 3-7, 30% -524 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 5-6, 45% -178
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 25-22, 53% + 80 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 25-23, 52% -30 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 5-5, 50% -50 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 4-5, 44% -150
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