The Miami Marlins are 22-34 at home this season and the Cincinnati Reds are 25-27 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Kyle Tyler has a 32% chance of a QS and Hunter Greene a 33% chance. If Kyle Tyler has a quality start the Marlins has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.5 and he has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 53%. If Hunter Greene has a quality start the Reds has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.9 and he has a 50% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 58%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Kyle Tyler who averaged 2.92 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 62% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Hunter Greene who averaged 3.6 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 79% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 62% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 25-27, 48% 166 | Record at Home | 22-34, 39% -773 | Cincinnati Reds |
| VS Miami Marlins | 2-1, 67% 27 | VS Cincinnati Reds | 1-2, 33% -50 | Cincinnati Reds |
| vs Team Under .500 | 24-14, 63% 478 | vs Team Under .500 | 12-20, 38% -695 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record as Road Favorite | 7-3, 70% 196 | Record as Home Underdog | 18-20, 47% 360 | Miami Marlins |
| When Hunter Greene Starts | 8-14, 36% -608 | When Kyle Tyler Starts | 2-3, 40% 48 | Miami Marlins |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-5, 38% -169 | Record at Home | 4-3, 57% 200 | Miami Marlins |
| VS Miami Marlins | 2-1, 67% 27 | VS Cincinnati Reds | 1-2, 33% -50 | Cincinnati Reds |
| vs Team Under .500 | 6-5, 55% -21 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-8, 33% -215 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record as Road Favorite | 0-2, 0% -200 | Record as Home Underdog | 4-3, 57% 200 | Miami Marlins |
| When Hunter Greene Starts | 3-1, 75% 149 | When Kyle Tyler Starts | 1-1, 50% 100 | Cincinnati Reds |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 23-27, 46% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 38-17, 69% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-5, 38% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-2, 71% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 42-36, 54% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-40, 49% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Hunter Greene STARTS | 7-12, 37% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Kyle Tyler STARTS | 2-3, 40% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 25-27, 48% -436 Miami Marlins Home Games: 31-25, 55% +506 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 3-5, 38% -260 Miami Marlins Home Games: 4-3, 57% -14
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 25-27, 48% -834 Miami Marlins Home Games: 28-28, 50% -587 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 3-5, 38% -207 Miami Marlins Home Games: 4-3, 57% -14
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 27-17, 61% + 830 Miami Marlins Home Games: 32-17, 65% + 1330 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 5-1, 83% + 390 Miami Marlins Home Games: 3-3, 50% -30
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