August 08, 2024 7:43 AM CDT

Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins 8/8/2024

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The Miami Marlins are 22-34 at home this season and the Cincinnati Reds are 25-27 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Kyle Tyler has a 32% chance of a QS and Hunter Greene a 33% chance. If Kyle Tyler has a quality start the Marlins has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.5 and he has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 53%. If Hunter Greene has a quality start the Reds has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.9 and he has a 50% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 58%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Kyle Tyler who averaged 2.92 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 62% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Hunter Greene who averaged 3.6 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 79% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 62% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati RedsRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road25-27, 48% 166Record at Home22-34, 39% -773Cincinnati Reds
VS Miami Marlins2-1, 67% 27VS Cincinnati Reds1-2, 33% -50Cincinnati Reds
vs Team Under .50024-14, 63% 478vs Team Under .50012-20, 38% -695Cincinnati Reds
Record as Road Favorite7-3, 70% 196Record as Home Underdog18-20, 47% 360Miami Marlins
When Hunter Greene Starts8-14, 36% -608When Kyle Tyler Starts2-3, 40% 48Miami Marlins

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati RedsRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-5, 38% -169Record at Home4-3, 57% 200Miami Marlins
VS Miami Marlins2-1, 67% 27VS Cincinnati Reds1-2, 33% -50Cincinnati Reds
vs Team Under .5006-5, 55% -21vs Team .500 or Better4-8, 33% -215Cincinnati Reds
Record as Road Favorite0-2, 0% -200Record as Home Underdog4-3, 57% 200Miami Marlins
When Hunter Greene Starts3-1, 75% 149When Kyle Tyler Starts1-1, 50% 100Cincinnati Reds

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Cincinnati RedsRECORDMiami MarlinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD23-27, 46% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME38-17, 69% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-5, 38% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-2, 71% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-36, 54% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-40, 49% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Hunter Greene STARTS7-12, 37% OverOVER-UNDER IN Kyle Tyler STARTS2-3, 40% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 25-27, 48% -436 Miami Marlins Home Games: 31-25, 55% +506 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 3-5, 38% -260 Miami Marlins Home Games: 4-3, 57% -14

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 25-27, 48% -834 Miami Marlins Home Games: 28-28, 50% -587 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 3-5, 38% -207 Miami Marlins Home Games: 4-3, 57% -14

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 27-17, 61% + 830 Miami Marlins Home Games: 32-17, 65% + 1330 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 5-1, 83% + 390 Miami Marlins Home Games: 3-3, 50% -30

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