The Baltimore Orioles are 33-21 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Toronto Blue Jays who are 26-28 at home. The Orioles have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Orioles starter Dean Kremer is forecasted to have a better game than Blue Jays starter Kevin Gausman. Dean Kremer has a 55% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kevin Gausman has a 47% chance of a QS. If Dean Kremer has a quality start the Orioles has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 63%. In Kevin Gausman quality starts the Blue Jays win 60%. He has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 60% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. who averaged 2.18 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 52% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Gunnar Henderson who averaged 2.2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 75% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 33-21, 61% 454 | Record at Home | 26-28, 48% -770 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS Toronto Blue Jays | 6-4, 60% -34 | VS Baltimore Orioles | 4-6, 40% -167 | Baltimore Orioles |
| vs Team Under .500 | 28-16, 64% 295 | vs Team .500 or Better | 36-51, 41% -1504 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record as Road Favorite | 26-15, 63% 308 | Record as Home Underdog | 6-11, 35% -489 | Baltimore Orioles |
| When Dean Kremer Starts | 6-9, 40% -356 | When Kevin Gausman Starts | 12-12, 50% -236 | Toronto Blue Jays |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-5, 50% -142 | Record at Home | 5-4, 56% 7 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| VS Toronto Blue Jays | 3-1, 75% 47 | VS Baltimore Orioles | 1-3, 25% -166 | Baltimore Orioles |
| vs Team Under .500 | 6-4, 60% -51 | vs Team Under .500 | 5-5, 50% -54 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record as Road Favorite | 5-4, 56% -42 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-0, 100% 190 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| When Dean Kremer Starts | 1-4, 20% -305 | When Kevin Gausman Starts | 4-1, 80% 272 | Toronto Blue Jays |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 33-21, 61% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 31-22, 58% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 9-1, 90% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-1, 89% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 45-33, 58% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 32-44, 42% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Dean Kremer STARTS | 11-4, 73% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Kevin Gausman STARTS | 18-6, 75% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 29-25, 54% -893 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 24-30, 44% -1012 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 5-5, 50% -191 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 3-6, 33% -360
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 31-23, 57% +80 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 25-29, 46% -1050 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 7-3, 70% +270 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 3-6, 33% -360
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 21-30, 41% -1200 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 23-28, 45% -780 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 3-7, 30% -470 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 1-8, 11% -780
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