The Chicago Cubs are 27-25 at home this season and the St. Louis Cardinals are 27-26 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs starter Shota Imanaga is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals starter Sonny Gray. Shota Imanaga has a 46% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Sonny Gray has a 37% chance of a QS. If Shota Imanaga has a quality start the Cubs has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 9.3 and he has a 67% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 57%. In Sonny Gray quality starts the Cardinals win 65%. He has a 50% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Shota Imanaga who averaged 3.24 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 71% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Sonny Gray who averaged 3.29 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 74% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 56% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 27-26, 51% 108 | Record at Home | 27-25, 52% -381 | St. Louis Cardinals |
VS Chicago Cubs | 5-3, 62% 144 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 3-5, 38% -165 | St. Louis Cardinals |
vs Team Under .500 | 28-21, 57% 111 | vs Team .500 or Better | 36-41, 47% -277 | St. Louis Cardinals |
Record As Road Underdog | 18-20, 47% 55 | Record As Home Favorite | 18-19, 49% -768 | St. Louis Cardinals |
When Sonny Gray Starts | 13-7, 65% 256 | When Shota Imanaga Starts | 15-4, 79% 820 | Chicago Cubs |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 8-4, 67% 387 | Record at Home | 5-7, 42% -294 | St. Louis Cardinals |
VS Chicago Cubs | 1-2, 33% -126 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 2-1, 67% 179 | Chicago Cubs |
vs Team .500 or Better | 5-8, 38% -290 | vs Team Under .500 | 6-3, 67% 313 | Chicago Cubs |
Record As Road Underdog | 5-3, 62% 262 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-5, 38% -297 | St. Louis Cardinals |
When Sonny Gray Starts | 2-3, 40% -151 | When Shota Imanaga Starts | 3-1, 75% 231 | Chicago Cubs |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
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OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 21-28, 43% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 20-31, 39% Over | UNDER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-6, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-9, 25% Over | UNDER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-43, 46% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-37, 54% Over | UNDER |
OVER-UNDER IN Sonny Gray STARTS | 11-9, 55% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Shota Imanaga STARTS | 7-10, 41% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 24-29, 45% -775 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 25-27, 48% -465 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 7-5, 58% +48 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 6-6, 50% -123
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 25-28, 47% -973 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 28-24, 54% -369 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 4-8, 33% -488 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 5-7, 42% -318
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 21-25, 46% -650 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 28-20, 58% + 600 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 4-8, 33% -480 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 5-7, 42% -270
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