The Atlanta Braves are 28-21 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 17-34 on the road this season. The Braves have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Braves starter Charlie Morton is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins starter Max Meyer. Charlie Morton has a 43% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Max Meyer has a 36% chance of a QS. If Charlie Morton has a quality start the Braves has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.9 and he has a 51% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 60%. In Max Meyer quality starts the Marlins win 58%. He has a 53% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 58% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Charlie Morton who averaged 2.97 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 65% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Max Meyer who averaged 3.23 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 74% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 52% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 17-34, 33% -905 | Record at Home | 28-21, 57% -595 | Atlanta Braves |
VS Atlanta Braves | 1-5, 17% -334 | VS Miami Marlins | 5-1, 83% 147 | Atlanta Braves |
vs Team .500 or Better | 26-46, 36% -903 | vs Team Under .500 | 20-16, 56% -503 | Atlanta Braves |
Record As Road Underdog | 16-34, 32% -984 | Record As Home Favorite | 28-21, 57% -595 | Atlanta Braves |
When Max Meyer Starts | 2-1, 67% 182 | When Charlie Morton Starts | 7-11, 39% -697 | Miami Marlins |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 3-7, 30% -235 | Record at Home | 3-7, 30% -502 | Miami Marlins |
VS Atlanta Braves | 0-0 No Games | VS Miami Marlins | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
vs Team Under .500 | 4-2, 67% 264 | vs Team Under .500 | 2-1, 67% 47 | Miami Marlins |
Record As Road Underdog | 3-7, 30% -235 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-7, 30% -502 | Miami Marlins |
When Max Meyer Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Charlie Morton Starts | 0-3, 0% -300 | Miami Marlins |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Miami Marlins | RECORD | Atlanta Braves | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
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OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 20-29, 41% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 18-31, 37% Over | UNDER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-3, 67% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-7, 30% Over | UNDER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-46, 43% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 48-30, 62% Over | UNDER |
OVER-UNDER IN Max Meyer STARTS | 2-1, 67% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Charlie Morton STARTS | 9-9, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 30-21, 59% +992 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 27-22, 55% +426 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 6-4, 60% +223 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 7-3, 70% +384
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 32-19, 63% -173 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 29-20, 59% -286 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 7-3, 70% +68 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 5-5, 50% -61
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 27-17, 61% + 830 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 25-14, 64% + 960 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 3-5, 38% -250 Atlanta Braves Home Games: 8-0, 100% + 800
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