August 01, 2024 12:28 PM CDT

Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers 8/1/2024

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The Detroit Tigers are 25-28 at home this season and the Kansas City Royals are 23-27 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Royals starter Seth Lugo is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers starter Keider Montero. Seth Lugo has a 54% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Keider Montero has a 45% chance of a QS. If Seth Lugo has a quality start the Royals has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5 and he has a 43% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Royals win 57%. In Keider Montero quality starts the Tigers win 66%. He has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Riley Greene who averaged 2.06 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 57% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Bobby Witt Jr. who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 67% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road23-27, 46% -436Record at Home25-28, 47% -665Kansas City Royals
VS Detroit Tigers4-2, 67% 174VS Kansas City Royals2-4, 33% -251Kansas City Royals
vs Team Under .50032-18, 64% 502vs Team .500 or Better32-41, 44% -914Kansas City Royals
Record as Road Favorite11-8, 58% -26Record as Home Underdog10-14, 42% -308Kansas City Royals
When Seth Lugo Starts13-9, 59% 217When Keider Montero Starts3-2, 60% 178Kansas City Royals

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-4, 60% 97Record at Home6-6, 50% 49Kansas City Royals
VS Detroit Tigers0-0 No GamesVS Kansas City Royals0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better6-8, 43% -259vs Team .500 or Better12-10, 55% 280Detroit Tigers
Record as Road Favorite4-2, 67% 65Record as Home Underdog5-5, 50% 74Detroit Tigers
When Seth Lugo Starts1-3, 25% -260When Keider Montero Starts3-2, 60% 178Detroit Tigers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Kansas City RoyalsRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD19-28, 40% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME29-22, 57% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-5, 44% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-5, 58% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-40, 48% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-35, 55% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Seth Lugo STARTS7-14, 33% OverOVER-UNDER IN Keider Montero STARTS4-1, 80% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 24-26, 48% -259 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 28-25, 53% +182 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 5-5, 50% -204 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 5-7, 42% -269

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 27-23, 54% -341 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 28-25, 53% -416 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 6-4, 60% +27 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 6-6, 50% -151

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 27-17, 61% + 830 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 26-25, 51% -150 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 6-2, 75% + 380 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 6-6, 50% -60

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