The Detroit Tigers are 25-28 at home this season and the Kansas City Royals are 23-27 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Royals starter Seth Lugo is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers starter Keider Montero. Seth Lugo has a 54% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Keider Montero has a 45% chance of a QS. If Seth Lugo has a quality start the Royals has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5 and he has a 43% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Royals win 57%. In Keider Montero quality starts the Tigers win 66%. He has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Riley Greene who averaged 2.06 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 57% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Bobby Witt Jr. who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 67% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Kansas City Royals
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 23-27, 46% -436 | Record at Home | 25-28, 47% -665 | Kansas City Royals |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 4-2, 67% 174 | VS Kansas City Royals | 2-4, 33% -251 | Kansas City Royals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 32-18, 64% 502 | vs Team .500 or Better | 32-41, 44% -914 | Kansas City Royals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 11-8, 58% -26 | Record as Home Underdog | 10-14, 42% -308 | Kansas City Royals |
| When Seth Lugo Starts | 13-9, 59% 217 | When Keider Montero Starts | 3-2, 60% 178 | Kansas City Royals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-4, 60% 97 | Record at Home | 6-6, 50% 49 | Kansas City Royals |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 0-0 No Games | VS Kansas City Royals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-8, 43% -259 | vs Team .500 or Better | 12-10, 55% 280 | Detroit Tigers |
| Record as Road Favorite | 4-2, 67% 65 | Record as Home Underdog | 5-5, 50% 74 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Seth Lugo Starts | 1-3, 25% -260 | When Keider Montero Starts | 3-2, 60% 178 | Detroit Tigers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 19-28, 40% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 29-22, 57% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-5, 44% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-5, 58% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-40, 48% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-35, 55% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Seth Lugo STARTS | 7-14, 33% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Keider Montero STARTS | 4-1, 80% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 24-26, 48% -259 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 28-25, 53% +182 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 5-5, 50% -204 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 5-7, 42% -269
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 27-23, 54% -341 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 28-25, 53% -416 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 6-4, 60% +27 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 6-6, 50% -151
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 27-17, 61% + 830 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 26-25, 51% -150 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 6-2, 75% + 380 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 6-6, 50% -60
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