The Philadelphia Phillies are 34-13 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Los Angeles Dodgers who are 26-18 on the road this season. The Phillies have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies starter Zack Wheeler is forecasted to have a better game than Dodgers starter Bobby Miller. Zack Wheeler has a 31% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Bobby Miller has a 17% chance of a QS. If Zack Wheeler has a quality start the Phillies has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.5 and he has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 66%. In Bobby Miller quality starts the Dodgers win 68%. He has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Zack Wheeler who averaged 3.31 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 71% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Bobby Miller who averaged 3.06 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 66% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 53% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies
Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 26-18, 59% -142 | Record at Home | 34-13, 72% 661 | Philadelphia Phillies |
VS Philadelphia Phillies | 0-0 No Games | VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
vs Team .500 or Better | 17-10, 63% 107 | vs Team .500 or Better | 17-10, 63% 391 | Philadelphia Phillies |
Record As Road Underdog | 2-2, 50% 46 | Record As Home Favorite | 31-12, 72% 442 | Philadelphia Phillies |
When Bobby Miller Starts | 3-3, 50% -182 | When Zack Wheeler Starts | 11-7, 61% -90 | Philadelphia Phillies |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 7-4, 64% -43 | Record at Home | 6-5, 55% -203 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
VS Philadelphia Phillies | 0-0 No Games | VS Los Angeles Dodgers | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
vs Team .500 or Better | 4-4, 50% -190 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-9, 44% -399 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
Record As Road Underdog | 0-0 No Games | Record As Home Favorite | 6-5, 55% -203 | Los Angeles Dodgers |
When Bobby Miller Starts | 1-1, 50% -58 | When Zack Wheeler Starts | 3-2, 60% -23 | Philadelphia Phillies |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Los Angeles Dodgers | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
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OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 20-24, 45% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 20-26, 43% Over | UNDER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-4, 64% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-6, 45% Over | OVER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 48-26, 65% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-41, 48% Over | UNDER |
OVER-UNDER IN Bobby Miller STARTS | 3-3, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Zack Wheeler STARTS | 7-11, 39% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 16-28, 36% -2106 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 28-19, 60% -77 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 4-7, 36% -422 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 4-7, 36% -413
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 24-20, 55% -527 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 33-14, 70% +449 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 8-3, 73% +163 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 6-5, 55% -203
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 22-17, 56% + 330 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 21-24, 47% -540 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 7-3, 70% + 370 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 7-4, 64% + 260
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