The Baltimore Orioles are 30-16 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Chicago Cubs who are 17-28 on the road this season. The Orioles have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Orioles starter Dean Kremer is forecasted to have a better game than Cubs starter Jameson Taillon. Dean Kremer has a 55% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jameson Taillon has a 38% chance of a QS. If Dean Kremer has a quality start the Orioles has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 69%. In Jameson Taillon quality starts the Cubs win 58%. He has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 58% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Gunnar Henderson who averaged 2.35 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 76% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Seiya Suzuki who averaged 1.96 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 49% chance of winning.

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