July 26, 2024 8:58 AM CDT

San Diego Padres vs Baltimore Orioles 7/26/2024

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The Baltimore Orioles are 31-21 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the San Diego Padres who are 25-22 on the road this season. The Orioles have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Orioles starter Grayson Rodriguez is forecasted to have a better game than Padres starter Adam Mazur. Grayson Rodriguez has a 61% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Adam Mazur has a 31% chance of a QS. If Grayson Rodriguez has a quality start the Orioles has a 83% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 72%. In Adam Mazur quality starts the Padres win 59%. He has a 6% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Gunnar Henderson who averaged 2.47 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 76% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Jurickson Profar who averaged 2.04 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 48% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE

San Diego PadresRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road25-22, 53% 445Record at Home31-21, 60% 195San Diego Padres
VS Baltimore Orioles0-0 No GamesVS San Diego Padres0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better27-30, 47% -135vs Team Under .50024-13, 65% 396Baltimore Orioles
Record As Road Underdog17-11, 61% 938Record As Home Favorite25-20, 56% -410San Diego Padres
When Adam Mazur Starts2-1, 67% 102When Grayson Rodriguez Starts15-4, 79% 602Baltimore Orioles

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres

San Diego PadresRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-3, 67% 381Record at Home5-6, 45% -277San Diego Padres
VS Baltimore Orioles0-0 No GamesVS San Diego Padres0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better6-6, 50% 70vs Team Under .5004-3, 57% 33San Diego Padres
Record As Road Underdog6-2, 75% 481Record As Home Favorite4-5, 44% -272San Diego Padres
When Adam Mazur Starts1-1, 50% 20When Grayson Rodriguez Starts5-1, 83% 236Baltimore Orioles

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

San Diego PadresRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD21-26, 45% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME24-25, 49% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-6, 33% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-6, 45% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-39, 48% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-39, 49% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Adam Mazur STARTS3-0, 100% OverOVER-UNDER IN Grayson Rodriguez STARTS13-6, 68% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 20-27, 43% -580 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 24-28, 46% -850 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 3-6, 33% -169 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 4-7, 36% -424

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 20-27, 43% -1075 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 30-22, 58% 0 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 2-7, 22% -523 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 4-7, 36% -472

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 23-21, 52% -10 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 22-26, 46% -660 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 6-3, 67% + 270 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 6-5, 55% + 50

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