The Baltimore Orioles are 31-21 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the San Diego Padres who are 25-22 on the road this season. The Orioles have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Orioles starter Grayson Rodriguez is forecasted to have a better game than Padres starter Adam Mazur. Grayson Rodriguez has a 61% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Adam Mazur has a 31% chance of a QS. If Grayson Rodriguez has a quality start the Orioles has a 83% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 72%. In Adam Mazur quality starts the Padres win 59%. He has a 6% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Gunnar Henderson who averaged 2.47 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 76% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Jurickson Profar who averaged 2.04 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 48% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
San Diego Padres | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 25-22, 53% 445 | Record at Home | 31-21, 60% 195 | San Diego Padres |
VS Baltimore Orioles | 0-0 No Games | VS San Diego Padres | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
vs Team .500 or Better | 27-30, 47% -135 | vs Team Under .500 | 24-13, 65% 396 | Baltimore Orioles |
Record As Road Underdog | 17-11, 61% 938 | Record As Home Favorite | 25-20, 56% -410 | San Diego Padres |
When Adam Mazur Starts | 2-1, 67% 102 | When Grayson Rodriguez Starts | 15-4, 79% 602 | Baltimore Orioles |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 6-3, 67% 381 | Record at Home | 5-6, 45% -277 | San Diego Padres |
VS Baltimore Orioles | 0-0 No Games | VS San Diego Padres | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
vs Team .500 or Better | 6-6, 50% 70 | vs Team Under .500 | 4-3, 57% 33 | San Diego Padres |
Record As Road Underdog | 6-2, 75% 481 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-5, 44% -272 | San Diego Padres |
When Adam Mazur Starts | 1-1, 50% 20 | When Grayson Rodriguez Starts | 5-1, 83% 236 | Baltimore Orioles |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
San Diego Padres | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
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OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 21-26, 45% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 24-25, 49% Over | UNDER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-6, 33% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-6, 45% Over | UNDER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-39, 48% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-39, 49% Over | UNDER |
OVER-UNDER IN Adam Mazur STARTS | 3-0, 100% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Grayson Rodriguez STARTS | 13-6, 68% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 20-27, 43% -580 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 24-28, 46% -850 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 3-6, 33% -169 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 4-7, 36% -424
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 20-27, 43% -1075 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 30-22, 58% 0 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 2-7, 22% -523 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 4-7, 36% -472
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 23-21, 52% -10 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 22-26, 46% -660 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 6-3, 67% + 270 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 6-5, 55% + 50
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