The Arizona Diamondbacks are 26-24 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates who are 26-24 on the road this season. The Diamondbacks have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Diamondbacks starter Zac Gallen is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates starter Luis Ortiz. Zac Gallen has a 42% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Luis Ortiz has a 25% chance of a QS. If Zac Gallen has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.8 and he has a 48% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 62%. In Luis Ortiz quality starts the Pirates win 65%. He has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Zac Gallen who averaged 3.29 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 72% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Luis Ortiz who averaged 3.14 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 69% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 52% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 26-24, 52% 401 | Record at Home | 26-24, 52% -557 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 0-0 No Games | VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 23-28, 45% -254 | vs Team Under .500 | 29-20, 59% 74 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| Record As Road Underdog | 20-18, 53% 587 | Record As Home Favorite | 21-16, 57% -282 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Luis Ortiz Starts | 3-1, 75% 216 | When Zac Gallen Starts | 9-8, 53% -18 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-3, 70% 436 | Record at Home | 6-6, 50% -120 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 0-0 No Games | VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 8-8, 50% 68 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-7, 53% 58 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-3, 57% 242 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-3, 57% -48 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Luis Ortiz Starts | 3-1, 75% 216 | When Zac Gallen Starts | 4-2, 67% 213 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 24-26, 48% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 28-21, 57% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-7, 30% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-3, 73% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-37, 53% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-48, 42% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Luis Ortiz STARTS | 0-4, 0% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Zac Gallen STARTS | 9-8, 53% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 24-26, 48% +363 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 21-29, 42% -1092 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 4-6, 40% +237 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 7-5, 58% +162
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 24-26, 48% -882 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 28-22, 56% -266 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 5-5, 50% -207 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 8-4, 67% +201
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 29-19, 60% + 810 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 16-23, 41% -930 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 7-3, 70% + 370 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 4-4, 50% -40
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