The Boston Red Sox are 24-25 at home this season and the New York Yankees are 33-21 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees starter Nestor Cortes is forecasted to have a better game than Red Sox starter Brayan Bello. Nestor Cortes has a 50% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Brayan Bello has a 36% chance of a QS. If Nestor Cortes has a quality start the Yankees has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.5 and he has a 42% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 57%. In Brayan Bello quality starts the Red Sox win 66%. He has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Rafael Devers who averaged 2.22 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 58% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.93 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 64% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox
| New York Yankees | RECORD | Boston Red Sox | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 33-21, 61% 738 | Record at Home | 24-25, 49% -462 | New York Yankees |
| VS Boston Red Sox | 2-4, 33% -280 | VS New York Yankees | 4-2, 67% 324 | Boston Red Sox |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 39-30, 57% 190 | vs Team .500 or Better | 25-33, 43% -612 | New York Yankees |
| Record as Road Favorite | 21-18, 54% -279 | Record as Home Underdog | 9-8, 53% 183 | Boston Red Sox |
| When Nestor Cortes Starts | 7-14, 33% -891 | When Brayan Bello Starts | 10-8, 56% 120 | Boston Red Sox |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox
| New York Yankees | RECORD | Boston Red Sox | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-6, 45% -140 | Record at Home | 5-4, 56% -70 | Boston Red Sox |
| VS Boston Red Sox | 1-2, 33% -144 | VS New York Yankees | 2-1, 67% 154 | Boston Red Sox |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-8, 38% -395 | vs Team Under .500 | 5-4, 56% 41 | Boston Red Sox |
| Record as Road Favorite | 3-6, 33% -357 | Record as Home Underdog | 0-1, 0% -100 | Boston Red Sox |
| When Nestor Cortes Starts | 0-4, 0% -400 | When Brayan Bello Starts | 3-1, 75% 100 | Boston Red Sox |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| New York Yankees | RECORD | Boston Red Sox | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 28-23, 55% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 18-27, 40% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-3, 70% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-5, 38% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-44, 43% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-39, 49% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Nestor Cortes STARTS | 10-10, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Brayan Bello STARTS | 12-4, 75% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 27-27, 50% -1050 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 23-26, 47% -563 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 5-6, 45% -306 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 4-5, 44% -253
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 28-26, 52% -322 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 22-27, 45% -1016 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 4-7, 36% -337 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 4-5, 44% -253
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 26-23, 53% + 70 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 26-18, 59% + 620 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 4-6, 40% -260 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 5-3, 62% + 170
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