The Minnesota Twins are 27-24 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Detroit Tigers who are 24-24 at home. The Twins have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Twins starter Pablo Lopez is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers starter Keider Montero. Pablo Lopez has a 60% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Keider Montero has a 34% chance of a QS. If Pablo Lopez has a quality start the Twins has a 85% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.9 and he has a 44% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Twins win 72%. In Keider Montero quality starts the Tigers win 54%. He has a 52% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 54% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Riley Greene who averaged 1.83 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 45% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Royce Lewis who averaged 3.16 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 58% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 79% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Twins
| Minnesota Twins | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 27-24, 53% -242 | Record at Home | 24-24, 50% -356 | Minnesota Twins |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 5-5, 50% -87 | VS Minnesota Twins | 5-5, 50% 32 | Detroit Tigers |
| vs Team Under .500 | 31-13, 70% 730 | vs Team .500 or Better | 29-35, 45% -623 | Minnesota Twins |
| Record as Road Favorite | 18-10, 64% 266 | Record as Home Underdog | 9-10, 47% 1 | Minnesota Twins |
| When Pablo Lopez Starts | 11-9, 55% -170 | When Keider Montero Starts | 3-1, 75% 278 | Detroit Tigers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
| Minnesota Twins | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-4, 64% 151 | Record at Home | 5-3, 62% 258 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 2-1, 67% 51 | VS Minnesota Twins | 1-2, 33% -58 | Minnesota Twins |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 7-6, 54% -29 | vs Team .500 or Better | 1-3, 25% -158 | Minnesota Twins |
| Record as Road Favorite | 5-2, 71% 162 | Record as Home Underdog | 4-2, 67% 283 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Pablo Lopez Starts | 2-2, 50% -59 | When Keider Montero Starts | 3-1, 75% 278 | Detroit Tigers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Minnesota Twins | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 25-26, 49% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 26-20, 57% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-6, 45% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-4, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-39, 52% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-35, 55% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Pablo Lopez STARTS | 10-10, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Keider Montero STARTS | 3-1, 75% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 24-27, 47% -1363 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 27-21, 56% +525 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 6-5, 55% -500 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 4-4, 50% -26
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 28-23, 55% -265 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 25-23, 52% -413 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 7-4, 64% +151 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 4-4, 50% -89
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 23-23, 50% -230 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 23-23, 50% -230 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 5-4, 56% + 60 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 4-4, 50% -40
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