The Milwaukee Brewers are 29-17 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 15-32 on the road this season. The Brewers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Brewers starter Freddy Peralta is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins starter Trevor Rogers. Freddy Peralta has a 35% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Trevor Rogers has a 15% chance of a QS. If Freddy Peralta has a quality start the Brewers has a 86% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 7 and he has a 57% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 72%. In Trevor Rogers quality starts the Marlins win 59%. He has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Freddy Peralta who averaged 3.47 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 75% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 80% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Trevor Rogers who averaged 2.98 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 62% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 41% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 15-32, 32% -1020 | Record at Home | 29-17, 63% 508 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| VS Milwaukee Brewers | 2-1, 67% 142 | VS Miami Marlins | 1-2, 33% -126 | Miami Marlins |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 22-42, 34% -1083 | vs Team Under .500 | 26-15, 63% 471 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 14-32, 30% -1099 | Record As Home Favorite | 22-11, 67% 390 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| When Trevor Rogers Starts | 5-15, 25% -685 | When Freddy Peralta Starts | 14-9, 61% 173 | Milwaukee Brewers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-8, 27% -185 | Record at Home | 5-5, 50% -144 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| VS Milwaukee Brewers | 0-0 No Games | VS Miami Marlins | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 4-10, 29% -300 | vs Team Under .500 | 4-6, 40% -254 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-8, 27% -185 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-4, 50% -141 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| When Trevor Rogers Starts | 3-2, 60% 335 | When Freddy Peralta Starts | 3-2, 60% 53 | Miami Marlins |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 18-28, 39% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 25-15, 62% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-5, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-4, 56% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-46, 43% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-41, 49% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Trevor Rogers STARTS | 9-11, 45% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Freddy Peralta STARTS | 13-9, 59% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 28-19, 60% +975 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 26-20, 57% +176 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 5-6, 45% -155 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 6-4, 60% +61
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 30-17, 64% -81 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 32-14, 70% +1047 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 8-3, 73% +85 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 5-5, 50% -144
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 26-16, 62% + 840 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 16-19, 46% -490 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 7-4, 64% + 260 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 1-6, 14% -560
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