The Philadelphia Phillies are 38-15 at home this season and the Cleveland Guardians are 28-26 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Cristopher Sanchez has a 25% chance of a QS and Ben Lively a 20% chance. If Cristopher Sanchez has a quality start the Phillies has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.7 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 62%. If Ben Lively has a quality start the Guardians has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Guardians win 55%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Cristopher Sanchez who averaged 3.05 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 64% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Ben Lively who averaged 3.37 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 74% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 58% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 28-26, 52% 96 | Record at Home | 38-15, 72% 724 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS Philadelphia Phillies | 0-0 No Games | VS Cleveland Guardians | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 26-19, 58% 724 | vs Team .500 or Better | 29-17, 63% 470 | Cleveland Guardians |
| Record As Road Underdog | 16-13, 55% 521 | Record As Home Favorite | 35-14, 71% 505 | Cleveland Guardians |
| When Ben Lively Starts | 10-7, 59% 41 | When Cristopher Sanchez Starts | 10-9, 53% -279 | Cleveland Guardians |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-9, 25% -650 | Record at Home | 6-4, 60% -56 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS Philadelphia Phillies | 0-0 No Games | VS Cleveland Guardians | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-12, 33% -715 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-7, 46% -201 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| Record As Road Underdog | 1-5, 17% -402 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-4, 60% -56 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| When Ben Lively Starts | 2-3, 40% -195 | When Cristopher Sanchez Starts | 2-2, 50% -81 | Philadelphia Phillies |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 23-30, 43% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 23-29, 44% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-7, 42% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-5, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-38, 52% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-41, 48% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Ben Lively STARTS | 5-10, 33% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Cristopher Sanchez STARTS | 8-10, 44% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 26-28, 48% -611 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 30-23, 57% -173 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 7-5, 58% -128 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 3-7, 30% -357
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 27-27, 50% -549 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 37-16, 70% +512 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 7-5, 58% +47 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 6-4, 60% -56
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 29-21, 58% + 590 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 24-26, 48% -460 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 7-5, 58% + 150 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 7-2, 78% + 480
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