The Cincinnati Reds are 22-25 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Tampa Bay Rays who are 27-27 at home. The Reds have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Reds starter Nick Lodolo is forecasted to have a better game than Rays starter Shane Baz. Nick Lodolo has a 64% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Shane Baz has a 49% chance of a QS. If Nick Lodolo has a quality start the Reds has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.4 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 60%. In Shane Baz quality starts the Rays win 60%. He has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 60% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Isaac Paredes who averaged 1.77 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 26% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 56% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is TJ Friedl who averaged 1.88 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 77% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 22-25, 47% 35 | Record at Home | 27-27, 50% -573 | Cincinnati Reds |
| VS Tampa Bay Rays | 0-0 No Games | VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 24-38, 39% -907 | vs Team Under .500 | 24-22, 52% -373 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 15-23, 39% -261 | Record As Home Favorite | 19-15, 56% -187 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| When Nick Lodolo Starts | 10-5, 67% 326 | When Shane Baz Starts | 2-1, 67% 138 | Cincinnati Reds |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-5, 50% 234 | Record at Home | 6-4, 60% 79 | Cincinnati Reds |
| VS Tampa Bay Rays | 0-0 No Games | VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 2-6, 25% -340 | vs Team Under .500 | 8-5, 62% 239 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-4, 56% 334 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-2, 67% 65 | Cincinnati Reds |
| When Nick Lodolo Starts | 1-2, 33% -138 | When Shane Baz Starts | 2-1, 67% 138 | Tampa Bay Rays |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 22-23, 49% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 25-27, 48% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-4, 60% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-6, 25% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 42-36, 54% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 51-29, 64% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Nick Lodolo STARTS | 5-10, 33% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Shane Baz STARTS | 2-1, 67% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 22-25, 47% -476 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 23-31, 43% -912 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 2-8, 20% -555 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 4-6, 40% -243
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 23-24, 49% -740 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 27-27, 50% -523 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 3-7, 30% -440 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 4-6, 40% -243
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 23-17, 58% + 430 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 24-24, 50% -240 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 3-5, 38% -250 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 6-2, 75% + 380
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