The New York Mets are 26-26 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Atlanta Braves who are 24-24 on the road this season. The Mets have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mets starter Kodai Senga is forecasted to have a better game than Braves starter Charlie Morton. Kodai Senga has a 34% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Charlie Morton has a 22% chance of a QS. If Kodai Senga has a quality start the Mets has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.5 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 66%. In Charlie Morton quality starts the Braves win 65%. He has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Kodai Senga who averaged 3.29 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 70% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Charlie Morton who averaged 3.21 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 71% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 50% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 24-24, 50% -718 | Record at Home | 26-26, 50% -452 | New York Mets |
| VS New York Mets | 3-3, 50% -121 | VS Atlanta Braves | 3-3, 50% 130 | New York Mets |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 32-29, 52% -810 | vs Team .500 or Better | 25-29, 46% -40 | New York Mets |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-5, 29% -309 | Record As Home Favorite | 17-12, 59% 9 | New York Mets |
| When Charlie Morton Starts | 7-10, 41% -597 | When Kodai Senga Starts | 0-0 No Games | New York Mets |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-3, 67% 130 | Record at Home | 7-3, 70% 182 | New York Mets |
| VS New York Mets | 0-0 No Games | VS Atlanta Braves | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 11-9, 55% -158 | vs Team Under .500 | 9-5, 64% 111 | New York Mets |
| Record As Road Underdog | 0-0 No Games | Record As Home Favorite | 5-2, 71% 87 | New York Mets |
| When Charlie Morton Starts | 1-2, 33% -147 | When Kodai Senga Starts | 0-0 No Games | New York Mets |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 18-28, 39% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 25-27, 48% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-5, 44% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-2, 80% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 47-35, 57% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 31-46, 40% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Charlie Morton STARTS | 8-9, 47% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Kodai Senga STARTS | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 23-25, 48% -833 New York Mets Home Games: 32-20, 62% +851 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 5-4, 56% +18 New York Mets Home Games: 7-3, 70% +182
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 30-18, 62% +524 New York Mets Home Games: 36-16, 69% +1315 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 6-3, 67% +182 New York Mets Home Games: 7-3, 70% +182
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 20-23, 47% -530 New York Mets Home Games: 25-23, 52% -30 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 3-5, 38% -250 New York Mets Home Games: 6-2, 75% + 380
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