The Chicago Cubs are 25-21 at home this season and the Arizona Diamondbacks are 23-24 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs starter Justin Steele is forecasted to have a better game than Diamondbacks starter Merrill Kelly. Justin Steele has a 37% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Merrill Kelly has a 30% chance of a QS. If Justin Steele has a quality start the Cubs has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 59%. In Merrill Kelly quality starts the Diamondbacks win 62%. He has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Justin Steele who averaged 3.11 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 67% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Merrill Kelly who averaged 3.43 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 77% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 53% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 23-24, 49% 169 | Record at Home | 25-21, 54% -156 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 1-2, 33% -121 | VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 2-1, 67% 134 | Chicago Cubs |
| vs Team Under .500 | 26-18, 59% 9 | vs Team .500 or Better | 28-31, 47% -69 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| Record As Road Underdog | 18-18, 50% 402 | Record As Home Favorite | 17-16, 52% -548 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| When Merrill Kelly Starts | 3-3, 50% -110 | When Justin Steele Starts | 5-7, 42% -280 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-5, 55% 260 | Record at Home | 5-5, 50% -100 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 0-0 No Games | VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 8-8, 50% 186 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-6, 40% -149 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-4, 60% 360 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-4, 50% -108 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| When Merrill Kelly Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | When Justin Steele Starts | 3-0, 100% 256 | Chicago Cubs |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 25-21, 54% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 20-25, 44% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-4, 64% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-6, 40% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 45-43, 51% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-37, 54% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Merrill Kelly STARTS | 4-2, 67% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Justin Steele STARTS | 4-8, 33% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 20-27, 43% -863 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 22-24, 48% -411 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 1-10, 9% -650 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 5-5, 50% -45
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 26-21, 55% -155 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 26-20, 57% -120 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 3-8, 27% -658 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 4-6, 40% -273
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 27-16, 63% + 940 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 28-14, 67% + 1260 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 8-3, 73% + 470 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 8-2, 80% + 580
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