The Detroit Tigers are 20-23 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Cleveland Guardians who are 27-22 on the road this season. The Tigers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Tigers starter Jack Flaherty is forecasted to have a better game than Guardians starter Spencer Howard. Jack Flaherty has a 61% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Spencer Howard has a 35% chance of a QS. If Jack Flaherty has a quality start the Tigers has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.6 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 63%. In Spencer Howard quality starts the Guardians win 59%. He has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Riley Greene who averaged 2.17 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Steven Kwan who averaged 2.14 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 53% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 27-22, 55% 409 | Record at Home | 20-23, 47% -688 | Cleveland Guardians |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 3-2, 60% 18 | VS Cleveland Guardians | 2-3, 40% -66 | Cleveland Guardians |
| vs Team Under .500 | 31-17, 65% 497 | vs Team .500 or Better | 19-30, 39% -1142 | Cleveland Guardians |
| Record As Road Underdog | 16-10, 62% 821 | Record As Home Favorite | 14-13, 52% -332 | Cleveland Guardians |
| When Spencer Howard Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Jack Flaherty Starts | 8-7, 53% 63 | Detroit Tigers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-8, 43% -222 | Record at Home | 5-6, 45% -195 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 1-1, 50% -35 | VS Cleveland Guardians | 1-1, 50% 26 | Detroit Tigers |
| vs Team Under .500 | 13-10, 57% 14 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-10, 29% -506 | Cleveland Guardians |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-4, 50% 32 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-3, 50% -127 | Cleveland Guardians |
| When Spencer Howard Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Jack Flaherty Starts | 2-1, 67% 76 | Detroit Tigers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 21-27, 44% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 23-18, 56% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-9, 36% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-5, 55% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-38, 52% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-35, 55% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Spencer Howard STARTS | 0-0 No Games | OVER-UNDER IN Jack Flaherty STARTS | 6-8, 43% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 23-26, 47% -608 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 24-19, 56% +416 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 7-7, 50% -276 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 5-6, 45% -179
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 25-24, 51% -411 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 23-20, 53% -300 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 9-5, 64% +215 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 7-4, 64% +54
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 26-19, 58% + 510 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 21-20, 51% -100 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 8-5, 62% + 250 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 5-6, 45% -160
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