July 11, 2024 7:23 AM CDT

Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers 7/11/2024

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The Detroit Tigers are 20-23 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Cleveland Guardians who are 27-22 on the road this season. The Tigers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Tigers starter Jack Flaherty is forecasted to have a better game than Guardians starter Spencer Howard. Jack Flaherty has a 61% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Spencer Howard has a 35% chance of a QS. If Jack Flaherty has a quality start the Tigers has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.6 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 63%. In Spencer Howard quality starts the Guardians win 59%. He has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Riley Greene who averaged 2.17 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Steven Kwan who averaged 2.14 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 53% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians

Cleveland GuardiansRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road27-22, 55% 409Record at Home20-23, 47% -688Cleveland Guardians
VS Detroit Tigers3-2, 60% 18VS Cleveland Guardians2-3, 40% -66Cleveland Guardians
vs Team Under .50031-17, 65% 497vs Team .500 or Better19-30, 39% -1142Cleveland Guardians
Record As Road Underdog16-10, 62% 821Record As Home Favorite14-13, 52% -332Cleveland Guardians
When Spencer Howard Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Jack Flaherty Starts8-7, 53% 63Detroit Tigers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers

Cleveland GuardiansRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-8, 43% -222Record at Home5-6, 45% -195Detroit Tigers
VS Detroit Tigers1-1, 50% -35VS Cleveland Guardians1-1, 50% 26Detroit Tigers
vs Team Under .50013-10, 57% 14vs Team .500 or Better4-10, 29% -506Cleveland Guardians
Record As Road Underdog4-4, 50% 32Record As Home Favorite3-3, 50% -127Cleveland Guardians
When Spencer Howard Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Jack Flaherty Starts2-1, 67% 76Detroit Tigers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Cleveland GuardiansRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD21-27, 44% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME23-18, 56% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-9, 36% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-5, 55% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-38, 52% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-35, 55% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Spencer Howard STARTS0-0 No GamesOVER-UNDER IN Jack Flaherty STARTS6-8, 43% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 23-26, 47% -608 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 24-19, 56% +416 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 7-7, 50% -276 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 5-6, 45% -179

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 25-24, 51% -411 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 23-20, 53% -300 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 9-5, 64% +215 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 7-4, 64% +54

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 26-19, 58% + 510 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 21-20, 51% -100 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 8-5, 62% + 250 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 5-6, 45% -160

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