The New York Mets are 22-25 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 22-26 on the road this season. The Mets have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mets starter Luis Severino is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals starter Patrick Corbin. Luis Severino has a 35% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Patrick Corbin has a 14% chance of a QS. If Luis Severino has a quality start the Mets has a 86% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.5 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 78%. In Patrick Corbin quality starts the Nationals win 59%. He has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Luis Severino who averaged 3.51 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 78% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 81% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Patrick Corbin who averaged 3.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 63% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 38% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 22-26, 46% 479 | Record at Home | 22-25, 47% -560 | Washington Nationals |
| VS New York Mets | 2-6, 25% -397 | VS Washington Nationals | 6-2, 75% 300 | New York Mets |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 22-33, 40% 23 | vs Team Under .500 | 25-19, 57% 445 | New York Mets |
| Record As Road Underdog | 18-25, 42% 268 | Record As Home Favorite | 13-11, 54% -99 | Washington Nationals |
| When Patrick Corbin Starts | 5-13, 28% -569 | When Luis Severino Starts | 7-10, 41% -407 | New York Mets |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-8, 38% -315 | Record at Home | 9-3, 75% 508 | New York Mets |
| VS New York Mets | 2-3, 40% -97 | VS Washington Nationals | 3-2, 60% 49 | New York Mets |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-13, 28% -768 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-4, 60% 352 | New York Mets |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-7, 30% -372 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-2, 67% 85 | New York Mets |
| When Patrick Corbin Starts | 1-4, 20% -264 | When Luis Severino Starts | 2-2, 50% -11 | New York Mets |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 23-22, 51% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 22-25, 47% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 10-3, 77% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-4, 67% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-40, 48% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 31-46, 40% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Patrick Corbin STARTS | 9-7, 56% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Luis Severino STARTS | 11-6, 65% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 34-14, 71% +2625 New York Mets Home Games: 28-19, 60% +743 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 9-4, 69% +542 New York Mets Home Games: 9-3, 75% +508
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 29-19, 60% +56 New York Mets Home Games: 32-15, 68% +1207 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 10-3, 77% +454 New York Mets Home Games: 8-4, 67% +282
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 24-21, 53% + 90 New York Mets Home Games: 22-22, 50% -220 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 6-7, 46% -170 New York Mets Home Games: 8-3, 73% + 470
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