The San Diego Padres are 25-25 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Seattle Mariners who are 20-25 on the road this season. The Padres have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Padres starter Michael King is forecasted to have a better game than Mariners starter Bryce Miller. Michael King has a 34% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Bryce Miller has a 26% chance of a QS. If Michael King has a quality start the Padres has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.3 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 61%. In Bryce Miller quality starts the Mariners win 63%. He has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Michael King who averaged 3.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 65% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 68% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Bryce Miller who averaged 3.45 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 76% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 52% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| Seattle Mariners | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 20-25, 44% -705 | Record at Home | 25-25, 50% -590 | San Diego Padres |
| VS San Diego Padres | 1-0, 100% 70 | VS Seattle Mariners | 0-1, 0% -100 | Seattle Mariners |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 22-25, 47% -365 | vs Team .500 or Better | 22-25, 47% -109 | San Diego Padres |
| Record As Road Underdog | 9-12, 43% -192 | Record As Home Favorite | 20-19, 51% -532 | Seattle Mariners |
| When Bryce Miller Starts | 10-8, 56% 135 | When Michael King Starts | 10-7, 59% 333 | San Diego Padres |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| Seattle Mariners | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-6, 40% -286 | Record at Home | 10-4, 71% 271 | San Diego Padres |
| VS San Diego Padres | 1-0, 100% 70 | VS Seattle Mariners | 0-1, 0% -100 | Seattle Mariners |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-8, 38% -332 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-10, 41% -260 | San Diego Padres |
| Record As Road Underdog | 1-1, 50% 4 | Record As Home Favorite | 8-3, 73% 185 | San Diego Padres |
| When Bryce Miller Starts | 3-2, 60% 79 | When Michael King Starts | 2-2, 50% 36 | Seattle Mariners |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Seattle Mariners | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 23-19, 55% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 28-19, 60% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-2, 78% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 11-2, 85% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 42-35, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-45, 42% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Bryce Miller STARTS | 9-8, 53% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Michael King STARTS | 8-9, 47% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 25-20, 56% +508 San Diego Padres Home Games: 21-29, 42% -818 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 3-7, 30% -181 San Diego Padres Home Games: 3-11, 21% -865
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 24-21, 53% -136 San Diego Padres Home Games: 23-27, 46% -926 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 2-8, 20% -639 San Diego Padres Home Games: 7-7, 50% -254
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 21-20, 51% -100 San Diego Padres Home Games: 26-20, 57% + 400 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 3-6, 33% -360 San Diego Padres Home Games: 10-3, 77% + 670
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
