The Milwaukee Brewers are 27-14 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates who are 22-23 on the road this season. The Brewers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Brewers starter Tobias Myers is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates starter Martin Perez. Tobias Myers has a 32% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Martin Perez has a 19% chance of a QS. If Tobias Myers has a quality start the Brewers has a 83% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 72%. In Martin Perez quality starts the Pirates win 62%. He has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Tobias Myers who averaged 3.38 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 71% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Martin Perez who averaged 3.05 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 66% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 47% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 22-23, 49% 171 | Record at Home | 27-14, 66% 679 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| VS Milwaukee Brewers | 4-4, 50% 16 | VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 4-4, 50% -110 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 21-28, 43% -428 | vs Team Under .500 | 31-18, 63% 571 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 19-17, 53% 551 | Record As Home Favorite | 20-9, 69% 461 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Martin Perez Starts | 4-10, 29% -570 | When Tobias Myers Starts | 4-5, 44% -170 | Milwaukee Brewers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-6, 54% 148 | Record at Home | 9-4, 69% 224 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| VS Milwaukee Brewers | 1-0, 100% 138 | VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-1, 0% -100 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 7-10, 41% -298 | vs Team Under .500 | 13-6, 68% 303 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 5-4, 56% 204 | Record As Home Favorite | 8-3, 73% 227 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| When Martin Perez Starts | 0-2, 0% -200 | When Tobias Myers Starts | 3-2, 60% 73 | Milwaukee Brewers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 22-23, 49% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 22-13, 63% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-8, 38% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-6, 40% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-37, 53% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-41, 49% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Martin Perez STARTS | 7-7, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Tobias Myers STARTS | 4-4, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 22-23, 49% +463 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 23-18, 56% +142 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 7-6, 54% +466 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 7-6, 54% -77
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 21-24, 47% -861 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 30-11, 73% +1218 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 6-7, 46% -251 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 9-4, 69% +218
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 26-17, 60% + 730 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 15-16, 48% -260 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 5-7, 42% -270 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 2-7, 22% -570
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