The Boston Red Sox are 21-23 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Oakland Athletics who are 12-33 on the road this season. The Red Sox have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Red Sox starter Nick Pivetta is forecasted to have a better game than Athletics starter JP Sears. Nick Pivetta has a 57% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while JP Sears has a 37% chance of a QS. If Nick Pivetta has a quality start the Red Sox has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.8 and he has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 70%. In JP Sears quality starts the Athletics win 57%. He has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Rafael Devers who averaged 2.66 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 80% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Oakland Athletics is Brent Rooker who averaged 1.93 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Athletics have a 48% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox
| Oakland Athletics | RECORD | Boston Red Sox | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 12-33, 27% -1105 | Record at Home | 21-23, 48% -453 | Boston Red Sox |
| VS Boston Red Sox | 0-4, 0% -400 | VS Oakland Athletics | 4-0, 100% 266 | Boston Red Sox |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 14-41, 25% -1792 | vs Team .500 or Better | 18-27, 40% -684 | Boston Red Sox |
| Record As Road Underdog | 12-32, 27% -1005 | Record As Home Favorite | 12-16, 43% -736 | Boston Red Sox |
| When JP Sears Starts | 6-10, 38% -215 | When Nick Pivetta Starts | 11-5, 69% 534 | Boston Red Sox |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox
| Oakland Athletics | RECORD | Boston Red Sox | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 1-12, 8% -1072 | Record at Home | 7-5, 58% 183 | Boston Red Sox |
| VS Boston Red Sox | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Oakland Athletics | 1-0, 100% 56 | Boston Red Sox |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 3-13, 19% -882 | vs Team .500 or Better | 3-3, 50% -13 | Boston Red Sox |
| Record As Road Underdog | 1-12, 8% -1072 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-3, 50% -91 | Boston Red Sox |
| When JP Sears Starts | 2-2, 50% 13 | When Nick Pivetta Starts | 5-1, 83% 383 | Boston Red Sox |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Oakland Athletics | RECORD | Boston Red Sox | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 20-22, 48% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 18-23, 44% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-5, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 9-2, 82% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 46-33, 58% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-39, 49% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN JP Sears STARTS | 5-11, 31% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Nick Pivetta STARTS | 7-8, 47% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 20-25, 44% -442 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 20-24, 45% -554 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 6-7, 46% -221 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 5-7, 42% -198
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 32-13, 71% +570 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 19-25, 43% -1007 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 11-2, 85% +449 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 5-7, 42% -347
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 24-18, 57% + 420 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 22-18, 55% + 220 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Oakland Athletics Road Games: 5-6, 45% -160 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 2-9, 18% -790
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
