July 10, 2024 8:41 AM CDT

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays 7/10/2024

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The New York Yankees are 30-19 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Tampa Bay Rays who are 24-25 at home. The Yankees have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees starter Marcus Stroman is forecasted to have a better game than Rays starter Zach Eflin. Marcus Stroman has a 60% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Zach Eflin has a 47% chance of a QS. If Marcus Stroman has a quality start the Yankees has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 59%. In Zach Eflin quality starts the Rays win 63%. He has a 43% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Isaac Paredes who averaged 1.97 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.5 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 70% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

New York YankeesRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road30-19, 61% 642Record at Home24-25, 49% -628New York Yankees
VS Tampa Bay Rays4-3, 57% -20VS New York Yankees3-4, 43% -74New York Yankees
vs Team Under .50023-16, 59% -135vs Team .500 or Better21-24, 47% -334New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog10-3, 77% 800Record As Home Favorite17-14, 55% -234New York Yankees
When Marcus Stroman Starts12-6, 67% 356When Zach Eflin Starts10-6, 62% 204New York Yankees

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays

New York YankeesRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-8, 43% -360Record at Home7-4, 64% 196Tampa Bay Rays
VS Tampa Bay Rays0-1, 0% -100VS New York Yankees1-0, 100% 106Tampa Bay Rays
vs Team .500 or Better4-11, 27% -846vs Team Under .5007-6, 54% -25Tampa Bay Rays
Record As Road Underdog0-0 No GamesRecord As Home Favorite3-2, 60% -12New York Yankees
When Marcus Stroman Starts3-2, 60% 20When Zach Eflin Starts4-1, 80% 211Tampa Bay Rays

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New York YankeesRECORDTampa Bay RaysRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD26-20, 57% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME24-23, 51% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS10-2, 83% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-7, 22% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-44, 43% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON51-29, 64% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Marcus Stroman STARTS10-8, 56% OverOVER-UNDER IN Zach Eflin STARTS7-8, 47% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 25-24, 51% -947 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 21-28, 43% -801 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 9-5, 64% -7 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 5-6, 45% -170

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 27-22, 55% -24 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 25-24, 51% -412 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 7-7, 50% -163 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 4-7, 36% -368

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 23-21, 52% -10 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 20-23, 47% -530 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 4-8, 33% -480 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 6-3, 67% + 270

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