The Houston Astros are 25-19 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 14-28 on the road this season. The Astros have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros starter Framber Valdez is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins starter Bryan Hoeing. Framber Valdez has a 65% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Bryan Hoeing has a 45% chance of a QS. If Framber Valdez has a quality start the Astros has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5 and he has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 69%. In Bryan Hoeing quality starts the Marlins win 54%. He has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 54% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Yordan Alvarez who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Josh Bell who averaged 1.73 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 25% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 53% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 14-28, 33% -770 | Record at Home | 25-19, 57% -108 | Houston Astros |
| VS Houston Astros | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Miami Marlins | 1-0, 100% 44 | Houston Astros |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 19-34, 36% -682 | vs Team Under .500 | 30-17, 64% 235 | Houston Astros |
| Record As Road Underdog | 13-28, 32% -849 | Record As Home Favorite | 21-17, 55% -362 | Houston Astros |
| When Bryan Hoeing Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | When Framber Valdez Starts | 9-8, 53% -190 | Miami Marlins |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-10, 29% -334 | Record at Home | 8-1, 89% 553 | Houston Astros |
| VS Houston Astros | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Miami Marlins | 1-0, 100% 44 | Houston Astros |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 7-10, 41% 145 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-5, 58% 283 | Houston Astros |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-10, 23% -413 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-1, 83% 192 | Houston Astros |
| When Bryan Hoeing Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | When Framber Valdez Starts | 3-2, 60% 47 | Houston Astros |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 14-27, 34% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 19-23, 45% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-10, 29% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-5, 38% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-46, 43% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 49-37, 57% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Bryan Hoeing STARTS | 0-1, 0% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Framber Valdez STARTS | 6-11, 35% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 25-17, 60% +940 Houston Astros Home Games: 20-24, 45% -568 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 5-9, 36% -427 Houston Astros Home Games: 6-3, 67% +235
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 26-16, 62% -197 Houston Astros Home Games: 24-20, 55% -361 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 9-5, 64% -22 Houston Astros Home Games: 6-3, 67% +85
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 25-12, 68% + 1180 Houston Astros Home Games: 25-17, 60% + 630 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 12-2, 86% + 980 Houston Astros Home Games: 5-3, 62% + 170
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