July 10, 2024 8:41 AM CDT

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies 7/10/2024

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The Philadelphia Phillies are 35-13 at home this season and the Los Angeles Dodgers are 26-19 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Cristopher Sanchez has a 27% chance of a QS and Gavin Stone a 24% chance. If Cristopher Sanchez has a quality start the Phillies has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 56%. If Gavin Stone has a quality start the Dodgers has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.8 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 59%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Cristopher Sanchez who averaged 3.01 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 64% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Gavin Stone who averaged 3.33 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 75% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 58% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road26-19, 58% -242Record at Home35-13, 73% 730Philadelphia Phillies
VS Philadelphia Phillies0-1, 0% -100VS Los Angeles Dodgers1-0, 100% 69Philadelphia Phillies
vs Team .500 or Better26-17, 60% -99vs Team .500 or Better27-14, 66% 669Philadelphia Phillies
Record As Road Underdog2-3, 40% -54Record As Home Favorite32-12, 73% 511Philadelphia Phillies
When Gavin Stone Starts11-4, 73% 321When Cristopher Sanchez Starts9-8, 53% -256Los Angeles Dodgers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road7-4, 64% -43Record at Home7-4, 64% -34Philadelphia Phillies
VS Philadelphia Phillies0-1, 0% -100VS Los Angeles Dodgers1-0, 100% 69Philadelphia Phillies
vs Team .500 or Better4-6, 40% -374vs Team .500 or Better8-8, 50% -230Philadelphia Phillies
Record As Road Underdog0-1, 0% -100Record As Home Favorite7-4, 64% -34Philadelphia Phillies
When Gavin Stone Starts3-1, 75% 57When Cristopher Sanchez Starts3-2, 60% -49Los Angeles Dodgers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD21-24, 47% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME21-26, 45% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-4, 64% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-6, 45% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON48-26, 65% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-41, 48% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Gavin Stone STARTS6-8, 43% OverOVER-UNDER IN Cristopher Sanchez STARTS8-8, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 17-28, 38% -2037 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 29-19, 60% -8 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 4-7, 36% -459 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 4-7, 36% -468

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 25-20, 56% -458 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 34-14, 71% +518 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 8-3, 73% +126 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 7-4, 64% -34

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 22-17, 56% + 330 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 21-24, 47% -540 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 6-3, 67% + 270 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 7-3, 70% + 370

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