The St. Louis Cardinals are 23-19 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 18-25 on the road this season. The Cardinals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cardinals starter Sonny Gray is forecasted to have a better game than Royals starter Michael Wacha. Sonny Gray has a 42% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Michael Wacha has a 28% chance of a QS. If Sonny Gray has a quality start the Cardinals has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.7 and he has a 42% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 65%. In Michael Wacha quality starts the Royals win 61%. He has a 40% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 61% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Sonny Gray who averaged 3.22 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 71% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Michael Wacha who averaged 3.31 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 74% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 48% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 18-25, 42% -671 | Record at Home | 23-19, 55% 45 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-0 No Games | VS Kansas City Royals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 21-23, 48% 38 | vs Team .500 or Better | 18-22, 45% -239 | Kansas City Royals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 10-17, 37% -442 | Record As Home Favorite | 16-13, 55% -108 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Michael Wacha Starts | 7-8, 47% -155 | When Sonny Gray Starts | 12-4, 75% 461 | St. Louis Cardinals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-9, 25% -593 | Record at Home | 8-5, 62% 194 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-0 No Games | VS Kansas City Royals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-5, 50% 40 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-4, 67% 307 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 1-5, 17% -324 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-2, 75% 293 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Michael Wacha Starts | 2-1, 67% 89 | When Sonny Gray Starts | 5-1, 83% 252 | St. Louis Cardinals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 16-25, 39% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 20-22, 48% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-8, 33% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-8, 38% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-40, 48% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-36, 54% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Michael Wacha STARTS | 5-10, 33% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Sonny Gray STARTS | 8-8, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 21-22, 49% -7 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 25-17, 60% +900 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 7-5, 58% +429 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 7-6, 54% +106
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 22-21, 51% -506 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 21-21, 50% -437 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 7-5, 58% -7 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 8-5, 62% +194
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 23-16, 59% + 540 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 21-18, 54% + 120 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 7-4, 64% + 260 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 5-6, 45% -160
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
