The Cincinnati Reds are 22-26 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Colorado Rockies who are 12-33 on the road this season. The Reds have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Reds starter Frankie Montas is forecasted to have a better game than Rockies starter Kyle Freeland. Frankie Montas has a 32% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kyle Freeland has a 13% chance of a QS. If Frankie Montas has a quality start the Reds has a 87% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.9 and he has a 44% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 72%. In Kyle Freeland quality starts the Rockies win 61%. He has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 61% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Frankie Montas who averaged 3.51 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 76% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 79% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Kyle Freeland who averaged 2.83 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 58% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 43% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds
| Colorado Rockies | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 12-33, 27% -1169 | Record at Home | 22-26, 46% -619 | Cincinnati Reds |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-5, 0% -500 | VS Colorado Rockies | 5-0, 100% 338 | Cincinnati Reds |
| vs Team Under .500 | 12-30, 29% -1300 | vs Team Under .500 | 22-17, 56% 48 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record As Road Underdog | 12-32, 27% -1069 | Record As Home Favorite | 13-14, 48% -437 | Cincinnati Reds |
| When Kyle Freeland Starts | 3-4, 43% 66 | When Frankie Montas Starts | 5-12, 29% -691 | Colorado Rockies |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds
| Colorado Rockies | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 2-8, 20% -476 | Record at Home | 5-8, 38% -408 | Cincinnati Reds |
| VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-2, 0% -200 | VS Colorado Rockies | 2-0, 100% 120 | Cincinnati Reds |
| vs Team Under .500 | 4-7, 36% -132 | vs Team Under .500 | 5-3, 62% 294 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-7, 22% -376 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-5, 38% -294 | Cincinnati Reds |
| When Kyle Freeland Starts | 2-1, 67% 222 | When Frankie Montas Starts | 1-3, 25% -146 | Colorado Rockies |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Colorado Rockies | RECORD | Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 22-22, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 17-27, 39% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-4, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-8, 33% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 32-46, 41% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-45, 44% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Kyle Freeland STARTS | 4-3, 57% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Frankie Montas STARTS | 7-9, 44% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 18-27, 40% -22 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 26-22, 54% +120 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 6-4, 60% +542 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 8-5, 62% +230
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 32-13, 71% +403 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 29-19, 60% +488 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 8-2, 80% +281 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 7-6, 54% -65
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 24-16, 60% + 640 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 24-16, 60% + 640 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 4-4, 50% -40 Cincinnati Reds Home Games: 7-4, 64% + 260
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