The Arizona Diamondbacks are 22-23 at home this season and the Atlanta Braves are 22-21 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Slade Cecconi has a 32% chance of a QS and Charlie Morton a 28% chance. If Slade Cecconi has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6 and he has a 50% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 50%. If Charlie Morton has a quality start the Braves has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 58%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Slade Cecconi who averaged 3.12 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 65% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 58% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Charlie Morton who averaged 3.24 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 74% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 63% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 22-21, 51% -560 | Record at Home | 22-23, 49% -836 | Atlanta Braves |
| VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 5-0, 100% 258 | VS Atlanta Braves | 0-5, 0% -500 | Atlanta Braves |
| vs Team Under .500 | 29-16, 64% -16 | vs Team .500 or Better | 24-32, 43% -530 | Atlanta Braves |
| Record as Road Favorite | 20-16, 56% -251 | Record as Home Underdog | 3-8, 27% -503 | Atlanta Braves |
| When Charlie Morton Starts | 7-9, 44% -497 | When Slade Cecconi Starts | 4-7, 36% -278 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-4, 64% 154 | Record at Home | 7-7, 50% -274 | Atlanta Braves |
| VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 2-0, 100% 131 | VS Atlanta Braves | 0-2, 0% -200 | Atlanta Braves |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 12-8, 60% 17 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-8, 43% -42 | Atlanta Braves |
| Record as Road Favorite | 6-2, 75% 256 | Record as Home Underdog | 1-3, 25% -192 | Atlanta Braves |
| When Charlie Morton Starts | 2-2, 50% -78 | When Slade Cecconi Starts | 1-4, 20% -304 | Atlanta Braves |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 16-25, 39% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 25-20, 56% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-6, 40% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 11-3, 79% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 47-35, 57% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-48, 42% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Charlie Morton STARTS | 7-9, 44% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Slade Cecconi STARTS | 4-6, 40% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 18-25, 42% -1251 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 18-27, 40% -1197 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 4-7, 36% -231 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 6-8, 43% -266
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 26-17, 60% +273 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 26-19, 58% -157 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 6-5, 55% 0 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 11-3, 79% +451
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 19-20, 49% -300 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 16-21, 43% -710 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 4-5, 44% -150 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 5-7, 42% -270
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