The Chicago Cubs are 21-16 at home this season and the New York Mets are 17-15 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs starter Shota Imanaga is forecasted to have a better game than Mets starter Jose Quintana. Shota Imanaga has a 34% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jose Quintana has a 22% chance of a QS. If Shota Imanaga has a quality start the Cubs has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 8 and he has a 62% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 57%. In Jose Quintana quality starts the Mets win 67%. He has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Shota Imanaga who averaged 3.24 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 71% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Jose Quintana who averaged 3.33 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 72% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 56% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| New York Mets | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 17-15, 53% 410 | Record at Home | 21-16, 57% 27 | New York Mets |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 2-2, 50% -32 | VS New York Mets | 2-2, 50% -14 | Chicago Cubs |
| vs Team Under .500 | 23-18, 56% 181 | vs Team Under .500 | 25-23, 52% -234 | New York Mets |
| Record As Road Underdog | 13-13, 50% 306 | Record As Home Favorite | 14-12, 54% -357 | New York Mets |
| When Jose Quintana Starts | 8-7, 53% 101 | When Shota Imanaga Starts | 11-2, 85% 596 | Chicago Cubs |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| New York Mets | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-2, 75% 372 | Record at Home | 6-7, 46% -313 | New York Mets |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 0-0 No Games | VS New York Mets | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 8-4, 67% 307 | vs Team Under .500 | 5-3, 62% 50 | New York Mets |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-2, 67% 225 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-5, 55% -113 | New York Mets |
| When Jose Quintana Starts | 3-3, 50% -40 | When Shota Imanaga Starts | 3-1, 75% 68 | Chicago Cubs |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| New York Mets | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 23-8, 74% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 16-20, 44% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-1, 86% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-7, 46% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-38, 49% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-37, 54% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Jose Quintana STARTS | 5-9, 36% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Shota Imanaga STARTS | 3-8, 27% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 16-16, 50% -34 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 17-20, 46% -466 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 4-4, 50% -31 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 8-5, 62% +183
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 13-19, 41% -895 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 22-15, 59% +53 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 4-4, 50% -56 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 9-4, 69% +253
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 11-17, 39% -770 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 21-12, 64% + 780 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 1-6, 14% -560 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 7-5, 58% + 150
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