The Baltimore Orioles are 19-10 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Tampa Bay Rays who are 17-19 at home. The Orioles have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Orioles starter Corbin Burnes is forecasted to have a better game than Rays starter Ryan Pepiot. Corbin Burnes has a 58% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Ryan Pepiot has a 36% chance of a QS. If Corbin Burnes has a quality start the Orioles has a 82% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6 and he has a 42% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 66%. In Ryan Pepiot quality starts the Rays win 61%. He has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 61% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Isaac Paredes who averaged 2.15 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 50% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Connor Norby who averaged 4.7 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 100% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 65% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 19-10, 66% 426 | Record at Home | 17-19, 47% -624 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS Tampa Bay Rays | 3-1, 75% 121 | VS Baltimore Orioles | 1-3, 25% -186 | Baltimore Orioles |
| vs Team Under .500 | 23-14, 62% 293 | vs Team .500 or Better | 10-16, 38% -602 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record as Road Favorite | 15-7, 68% 340 | Record as Home Underdog | 3-7, 30% -402 | Baltimore Orioles |
| When Corbin Burnes Starts | 9-4, 69% 127 | When Ryan Pepiot Starts | 7-4, 64% 153 | Tampa Bay Rays |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 7-5, 58% -78 | Record at Home | 4-8, 33% -481 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS Tampa Bay Rays | 3-1, 75% 121 | VS Baltimore Orioles | 1-3, 25% -186 | Baltimore Orioles |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 10-9, 53% -199 | vs Team .500 or Better | 10-11, 48% -87 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record as Road Favorite | 7-2, 78% 222 | Record as Home Underdog | 1-3, 25% -192 | Baltimore Orioles |
| When Corbin Burnes Starts | 4-1, 80% 121 | When Ryan Pepiot Starts | 3-1, 75% 147 | Tampa Bay Rays |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 17-12, 59% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 21-15, 58% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-4, 67% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-5, 58% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 45-33, 58% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 51-29, 64% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Corbin Burnes STARTS | 6-6, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Ryan Pepiot STARTS | 6-5, 55% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 15-14, 52% -766 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 14-22, 39% -775 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 4-8, 33% -674 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 7-5, 58% +203
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 16-13, 55% -82 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 19-17, 53% -188 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 6-6, 50% -260 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 8-4, 67% +290
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 13-14, 48% -240 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 13-19, 41% -790 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Baltimore Orioles Road Games: 5-5, 50% -50 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 5-6, 45% -160
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