The Baltimore Orioles are 15-8 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Toronto Blue Jays who are 10-13 on the road this season. The Orioles have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Orioles starter Kyle Bradish is forecasted to have a better game than Blue Jays starter Yusei Kikuchi. Kyle Bradish has a 50% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Yusei Kikuchi has a 39% chance of a QS. If Kyle Bradish has a quality start the Orioles has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 67%. In Yusei Kikuchi quality starts the Blue Jays win 61%. He has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 61% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Ryan O\'Hearn who averaged 2.04 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Danny Jansen who averaged 2.1 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 56% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 10-13, 43% -233 | Record at Home | 15-8, 65% 375 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS Baltimore Orioles | 1-0, 100% 140 | VS Toronto Blue Jays | 0-1, 0% -100 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 15-17, 47% -235 | vs Team .500 or Better | 14-5, 74% 617 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record As Road Underdog | 7-9, 44% -56 | Record As Home Favorite | 11-8, 58% -121 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| When Yusei Kikuchi Starts | 3-5, 38% -184 | When Kyle Bradish Starts | 1-0, 100% 57 | Baltimore Orioles |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-7, 46% -93 | Record at Home | 9-5, 64% 340 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS Baltimore Orioles | 1-0, 100% 140 | VS Toronto Blue Jays | 0-1, 0% -100 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 11-14, 44% -380 | vs Team Under .500 | 7-3, 70% 288 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-3, 57% 166 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-5, 50% -156 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| When Yusei Kikuchi Starts | 2-3, 40% -113 | When Kyle Bradish Starts | 1-0, 100% 57 | Baltimore Orioles |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 11-12, 48% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 11-10, 52% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-8, 38% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-8, 38% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-42, 48% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-39, 49% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Yusei Kikuchi STARTS | 2-6, 25% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Kyle Bradish STARTS | 1-0, 100% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 5-18, 22% -1297 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 9-14, 39% -523 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 1-12, 8% -1003 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 8-6, 57% +177
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 9-14, 39% -724 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 15-8, 65% +375 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 3-10, 23% -763 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 9-5, 64% +340
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 11-10, 52% 0 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 9-12, 43% -420 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 7-5, 58% + 150 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 7-6, 54% + 40
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
