The Houston Astros are 1-4 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Toronto Blue Jays who are 2-3 on the road this season. The Astros have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros starter Framber Valdez is forecasted to have a better game than Blue Jays starter Jose Berrios. Framber Valdez has a 55% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jose Berrios has a 38% chance of a QS. If Framber Valdez has a quality start the Astros has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.5 and he has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 67%. In Jose Berrios quality starts the Blue Jays win 62%. He has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Yordan Alvarez who averaged 2.47 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Davis Schneider who averaged 1.98 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 54% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 2-3, 40% -104 | Record at Home | 1-4, 20% -332 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| VS Houston Astros | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Toronto Blue Jays | 1-0, 100% 68 | Houston Astros |
| vs Team Under .500 | 2-3, 40% -104 | vs Team .500 or Better | 0-4, 0% -400 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 1-3, 25% -186 | Record As Home Favorite | 1-4, 20% -332 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| When Jose Berrios Starts | 1-0, 100% 114 | When Framber Valdez Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | Toronto Blue Jays |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Toronto Blue Jays
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 46-37, 55% 226 | Record at Home | 40-47, 46% -2263 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| VS Houston Astros | 4-3, 57% 34 | VS Toronto Blue Jays | 3-4, 43% -92 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 43-52, 45% -1498 | vs Team .500 or Better | 48-48, 50% -419 | Houston Astros |
| Record As Road Underdog | 19-16, 54% 441 | Record As Home Favorite | 37-45, 45% -2357 | Toronto Blue Jays |
| When Jose Berrios Starts | 16-14, 53% -115 | When Framber Valdez Starts | 20-18, 53% -462 | Toronto Blue Jays |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Toronto Blue Jays | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 4-1, 80% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 2-3, 40% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-1, 80% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-3, 40% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-42, 48% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 49-37, 57% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Jose Berrios STARTS | 1-0, 100% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Framber Valdez STARTS | 1-0, 100% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 2-3, 40% -145 Houston Astros Home Games: 1-4, 20% -285 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 44-39, 53% -28 Houston Astros Home Games: 41-46, 47% -795
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 3-2, 60% +23 Houston Astros Home Games: 1-4, 20% -332 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 44-39, 53% -236 Houston Astros Home Games: 44-43, 51% -1331
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 1-4, 20% -340 Houston Astros Home Games: 3-2, 60% + 80 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Toronto Blue Jays Road Games: 37-30, 55% + 400 Houston Astros Home Games: 43-29, 60% + 1110
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
