The San Diego Padres are 2-4 at home this season and the St. Louis Cardinals are 2-3 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Yu Darvish has a 30% chance of a QS and Miles Mikolas a 25% chance. If Yu Darvish has a quality start the Padres has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 7.1 and he has a 57% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 51%. If Miles Mikolas has a quality start the Cardinals has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.7 and he has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 57%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Yu Darvish who averaged 3.09 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 67% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Victor Scott II who averaged 4.69 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 100% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 52% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 2-3, 40% -24 | Record at Home | 2-4, 33% -239 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS San Diego Padres | 1-0, 100% 89 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-1, 0% -100 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 1-0, 100% 89 | vs Team .500 or Better | 1-1, 50% 45 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 1-3, 25% -113 | Record As Home Favorite | 2-2, 50% -39 | San Diego Padres |
| When Miles Mikolas Starts | 0-1, 0% -100 | When Yu Darvish Starts | 1-1, 50% -10 | San Diego Padres |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 36-45, 44% -529 | Record at Home | 44-37, 54% -893 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS San Diego Padres | 3-3, 50% 65 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 3-3, 50% -134 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 45-56, 45% -600 | vs Team Under .500 | 42-29, 59% -363 | San Diego Padres |
| Record As Road Underdog | 22-28, 44% 162 | Record As Home Favorite | 39-30, 57% -753 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Miles Mikolas Starts | 16-19, 46% -488 | When Yu Darvish Starts | 8-15, 35% -901 | St. Louis Cardinals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 2-1, 67% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 4-1, 80% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-1, 67% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-1, 80% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-43, 46% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-45, 42% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Miles Mikolas STARTS | 0-1, 0% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Yu Darvish STARTS | 1-1, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 1-4, 20% -213 San Diego Padres Home Games: 4-2, 67% +208 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 43-38, 53% +662 San Diego Padres Home Games: 38-43, 47% -671
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 2-3, 40% -222 San Diego Padres Home Games: 3-3, 50% -82 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 48-33, 59% +500 San Diego Padres Home Games: 45-36, 56% -642
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 2-1, 67% + 90 San Diego Padres Home Games: 4-1, 80% + 290 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 33-35, 49% -550 San Diego Padres Home Games: 31-35, 47% -750
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