April 02, 2024 1:23 PM CDT

New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks 4/2/2024

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The Arizona Diamondbacks are 3-2 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the New York Yankees who are 5-0 on the road this season. The Diamondbacks have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Diamondbacks starter Zac Gallen is forecasted to have a better game than Yankees starter Nestor Cortes. Zac Gallen has a 32% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Nestor Cortes has a 17% chance of a QS. If Zac Gallen has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 84% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.8 and he has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 64%. In Nestor Cortes quality starts the Yankees win 67%. He has a 49% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Blaze Alexander who averaged 5 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 100% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 61% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Nestor Cortes who averaged 3.11 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 66% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 51% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

New York YankeesRECORDArizona DiamondbacksRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-0, 100% 548Record at Home3-2, 60% -79New York Yankees
VS Arizona Diamondbacks1-0, 100% 81VS New York Yankees0-1, 0% -100New York Yankees
vs Team .500 or Better1-0, 100% 81vs Team .500 or Better0-1, 0% -100New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog4-0, 100% 467Record As Home Favorite3-1, 75% 21New York Yankees
When Nestor Cortes Starts1-0, 100% 134When Zac Gallen Starts1-0, 100% 37New York Yankees

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

New York YankeesRECORDArizona DiamondbacksRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road40-41, 49% -241Record at Home46-42, 52% -327New York Yankees
VS Arizona Diamondbacks2-1, 67% 60VS New York Yankees1-2, 33% -115New York Yankees
vs Team .500 or Better47-46, 51% -148vs Team .500 or Better49-58, 46% -163New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog21-23, 48% 268Record As Home Favorite28-20, 58% -181New York Yankees
When Nestor Cortes Starts8-4, 67% 301When Zac Gallen Starts19-21, 48% -666New York Yankees

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New York YankeesRECORDArizona DiamondbacksRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD1-4, 20% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME2-3, 40% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-4, 20% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-3, 40% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-44, 43% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON35-48, 42% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Nestor Cortes STARTS1-0, 100% OverOVER-UNDER IN Zac Gallen STARTS1-0, 100% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 1-4, 20% -285 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 0-5, 0% -500 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 41-40, 51% +762 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 44-44, 50% -431

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 0-5, 0% -500 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 3-2, 60% -79 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 44-37, 54% -126 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 47-41, 53% -659

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 3-1, 75% + 190 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 1-2, 33% -120 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - New York Yankees Road Games: 38-36, 51% -160 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 37-33, 53% + 70

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