The New York Mets are 0-4 at home this season and the Detroit Tigers are 4-0 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Adrian Houser has a 17% chance of a QS and Casey Mize a 20% chance. If Adrian Houser has a quality start the Mets has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 54%. If Casey Mize has a quality start the Tigers has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 59%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Adrian Houser who averaged 2.59 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 52% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Colt Keith who averaged 5.21 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 100% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 54% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
| Detroit Tigers | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-0, 100% 321 | Record at Home | 0-4, 0% -400 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS New York Mets | 1-0, 100% 116 | VS Detroit Tigers | 0-1, 0% -100 | Detroit Tigers |
| vs Team Under .500 | 4-0, 100% 321 | vs Team .500 or Better | 0-4, 0% -400 | Detroit Tigers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 1-0, 100% 116 | Record As Home Favorite | 0-3, 0% -300 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Casey Mize Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Adrian Houser Starts | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers
| Detroit Tigers | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 41-40, 51% 1274 | Record at Home | 40-41, 49% -894 | Detroit Tigers |
| VS New York Mets | 3-0, 100% 422 | VS Detroit Tigers | 0-3, 0% -300 | Detroit Tigers |
| vs Team Under .500 | 47-30, 61% 1536 | vs Team Under .500 | 30-30, 50% -925 | Detroit Tigers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 30-35, 46% 951 | Record As Home Favorite | 28-26, 52% -701 | Detroit Tigers |
| When Casey Mize Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Adrian Houser Starts | 13-7, 65% 623 | New York Mets |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Detroit Tigers | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 1-3, 25% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 1-3, 25% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 1-3, 25% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 1-3, 25% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 34-44, 44% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 31-46, 40% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Casey Mize STARTS | 0-0 No Games | OVER-UNDER IN Adrian Houser STARTS | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 3-1, 75% +16 New York Mets Home Games: 4-0, 100% +429 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 48-33, 59% +1649 New York Mets Home Games: 36-45, 44% -1271
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 4-0, 100% +321 New York Mets Home Games: 4-0, 100% +429 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 45-36, 56% -718 New York Mets Home Games: 43-38, 53% -543
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 1-3, 25% -230 New York Mets Home Games: 1-3, 25% -230 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 43-30, 59% + 1000 New York Mets Home Games: 36-34, 51% -140
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