April 02, 2024 1:23 PM CDT

Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies 4/2/2024

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The Philadelphia Phillies are 2-2 at home this season and the Cincinnati Reds are 1-0 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Spencer Turnbull has a 22% chance of a QS and Graham Ashcraft a 21% chance. If Spencer Turnbull has a quality start the Phillies has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 37% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 57%. If Graham Ashcraft has a quality start the Reds has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.4 and he has a 40% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 55%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Spencer Turnbull who averaged 2.95 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 62% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Graham Ashcraft who averaged 3.26 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 72% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 58% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati RedsRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road1-0, 100% 128Record at Home2-2, 50% 17Cincinnati Reds
VS Philadelphia Phillies1-0, 100% 128VS Cincinnati Reds0-1, 0% -100Cincinnati Reds
vs Team .500 or Better1-0, 100% 128vs Team .500 or Better2-2, 50% 17Cincinnati Reds
Record As Road Underdog1-0, 100% 128Record As Home Favorite0-1, 0% -100Cincinnati Reds
When Graham Ashcraft Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Spencer Turnbull Starts0-0 No GamesN/A

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati RedsRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road44-37, 54% 1607Record at Home55-34, 62% 323Cincinnati Reds
VS Philadelphia Phillies3-4, 43% -57VS Cincinnati Reds4-3, 57% -59Cincinnati Reds
vs Team .500 or Better41-47, 47% 414vs Team Under .50043-29, 60% -285Cincinnati Reds
Record As Road Underdog36-32, 53% 1452Record As Home Favorite46-26, 64% 194Cincinnati Reds
When Graham Ashcraft Starts10-15, 40% -330When Spencer Turnbull Starts2-3, 40% 34Philadelphia Phillies

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Cincinnati RedsRECORDPhiladelphia PhilliesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD1-0, 100% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME3-1, 75% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS1-0, 100% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-1, 75% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-36, 54% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-41, 48% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Graham Ashcraft STARTS0-0 No GamesOVER-UNDER IN Spencer Turnbull STARTS0-0 No GamesN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 1-0, 100% +128 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 2-2, 50% +33 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 43-38, 53% +90 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 53-36, 60% +672

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 0-1, 0% -100 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 1-3, 25% -195 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 45-36, 56% +33 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 57-32, 64% +569

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 1-0, 100% + 100 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 3-1, 75% + 190 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 45-26, 63% + 1640 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 34-34, 50% -340

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