The Philadelphia Phillies are 2-2 at home this season and the Cincinnati Reds are 1-0 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Spencer Turnbull has a 22% chance of a QS and Graham Ashcraft a 21% chance. If Spencer Turnbull has a quality start the Phillies has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 37% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 57%. If Graham Ashcraft has a quality start the Reds has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.4 and he has a 40% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 55%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Spencer Turnbull who averaged 2.95 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 62% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Graham Ashcraft who averaged 3.26 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 72% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 58% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 1-0, 100% 128 | Record at Home | 2-2, 50% 17 | Cincinnati Reds |
| VS Philadelphia Phillies | 1-0, 100% 128 | VS Cincinnati Reds | 0-1, 0% -100 | Cincinnati Reds |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 1-0, 100% 128 | vs Team .500 or Better | 2-2, 50% 17 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record As Road Underdog | 1-0, 100% 128 | Record As Home Favorite | 0-1, 0% -100 | Cincinnati Reds |
| When Graham Ashcraft Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Spencer Turnbull Starts | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 44-37, 54% 1607 | Record at Home | 55-34, 62% 323 | Cincinnati Reds |
| VS Philadelphia Phillies | 3-4, 43% -57 | VS Cincinnati Reds | 4-3, 57% -59 | Cincinnati Reds |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 41-47, 47% 414 | vs Team Under .500 | 43-29, 60% -285 | Cincinnati Reds |
| Record As Road Underdog | 36-32, 53% 1452 | Record As Home Favorite | 46-26, 64% 194 | Cincinnati Reds |
| When Graham Ashcraft Starts | 10-15, 40% -330 | When Spencer Turnbull Starts | 2-3, 40% 34 | Philadelphia Phillies |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Cincinnati Reds | RECORD | Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 1-0, 100% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 3-1, 75% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 1-0, 100% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-1, 75% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 42-36, 54% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-41, 48% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Graham Ashcraft STARTS | 0-0 No Games | OVER-UNDER IN Spencer Turnbull STARTS | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 1-0, 100% +128 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 2-2, 50% +33 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 43-38, 53% +90 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 53-36, 60% +672
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 0-1, 0% -100 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 1-3, 25% -195 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 45-36, 56% +33 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 57-32, 64% +569
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 1-0, 100% + 100 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 3-1, 75% + 190 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 45-26, 63% + 1640 Philadelphia Phillies Home Games: 34-34, 50% -340
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