April 02, 2024 1:23 PM CDT

Boston Red Sox vs Oakland Athletics 4/2/2024

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The Oakland Athletics are 1-4 at home this season and the Boston Red Sox are 3-2 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Alex Wood has a 50% chance of a QS and Brayan Bello a 46% chance. If Alex Wood has a quality start the Athletics has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.9 and he has a 49% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Athletics win 53%. If Brayan Bello has a quality start the Red Sox has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.5 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 49%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Oakland Athletics is Zack Gelof who averaged 2.11 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Athletics have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Rafael Devers who averaged 2.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 66% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox

Boston Red SoxRECORDOakland AthleticsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-2, 60% 158Record at Home1-4, 20% -303Boston Red Sox
VS Oakland Athletics1-0, 100% 72VS Boston Red Sox0-1, 0% -100Boston Red Sox
vs Team Under .5001-0, 100% 72vs Team .500 or Better1-4, 20% -303Boston Red Sox
Record as Road Favorite1-0, 100% 72Record as Home Underdog1-4, 20% -303Boston Red Sox
When Brayan Bello Starts1-0, 100% 151When Alex Wood Starts0-1, 0% -100Boston Red Sox

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox

Boston Red SoxRECORDOakland AthleticsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road39-42, 48% 33Record at Home26-55, 32% -1528Boston Red Sox
VS Oakland Athletics4-2, 67% 10VS Boston Red Sox2-4, 33% -64Boston Red Sox
vs Team Under .50027-29, 48% -1031vs Team Under .50028-36, 44% 386Oakland Athletics
Record as Road Favorite12-12, 50% -353Record as Home Underdog25-54, 32% -1502Boston Red Sox
When Brayan Bello Starts16-12, 57% 409When Alex Wood Starts5-5, 50% 14Boston Red Sox

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Boston Red SoxRECORDOakland AthleticsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD2-3, 40% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME4-1, 80% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-3, 40% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-1, 80% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-38, 51% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-38, 52% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Brayan Bello STARTS1-0, 100% OverOVER-UNDER IN Alex Wood STARTS1-0, 100% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 3-2, 60% +86 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 2-3, 40% -131 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 43-38, 53% +618 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 38-43, 47% -676

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 3-2, 60% -6 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 3-2, 60% +29 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 40-41, 49% -1046 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 53-28, 65% +227

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 3-1, 75% + 190 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 1-4, 20% -340 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Boston Red Sox Road Games: 26-37, 41% -1470 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 29-38, 43% -1280

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