Written by AccuScore Staff
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2017 Baseball Win Totals – Futures Picks
The 2017 Major League Baseball season is set to start, and just in time, AccuScore has futures odds, picks and analysis for every single team. Even though a pitch has yet to be tossed, AccuScore has simulated every game 10,000 times to arrive at projected win and loss totals for each and every game.
Along with AccuScore’s win totals, our analysts dug up the Vegas win totals lines to place them side by side with AccuScore’s projections to figure out where the best value futures picks sit.
American League Totals
The Cleveland Indians are projected to finish with the best record in the AL, as the Tribe comes off a trip to the World Series, where Cleveland blew a 3-1 lead. While AccuScore projects the Boston Red Sox to finish with a better mark than the Indians, neither forecast is off by a massive margin from the Vegas lines.
However, the American League offers a great deal of value picks. In the AL Central, the computer is high on the Minnesota Twins with a 7.1 win total margin between the computer and Vegas, as the Twins look good value for the OVER 70.5 wins.
Likewise, the computer is not sold on the Detroit Tigers, and the Under holds value at the 85.5 wins. AccuScore projects that win total to be closer to 79.1 wins, which is a difference of 6.4 wins.
In the American League, the Tigers and the Twins offer the most value, though the computer thinks the Baltimore Orioles line at 84.5 is also a bit high.
AL Win Totals Value Picks
Twins – OVER 70.5
Tigers – UNDER 85.5
Orioles – UNDER 84.5
AccuScore has updated and improved its MLB picks system algorithm, and Sunday’s Opening Day Picks are already on the site with a free New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays game forecast, with all picks and player projections included: Click here for Opening Day Picks
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National League Totals
Both Vegas and the AccuScore computer agree that the best team in baseball is the Chicago Cubs. Vegas sets the Cubs’ line at 95.5 wins, and AccuScore projects the Cubs to win 97.6 games. While there’s value there, there’s more value elsewhere in the NL. Even at only 73.5 wins, the computer projects that the Cincinnati Reds’ line isn’t low enough. The computer says the Reds will only fail to break the 70-wi mark with a projected win total of 68.2 games on Opening Day.
In terms of other value opportunities in the NL, both Vegas and the computer agree that the New York Mets will finish second behind the Washington Nationals, but AccuScore projects the Nationals to win 84.7 games compared to Vegas’ line of 89.5 games. The computer identifies this as the value pick for the NL East.
In the NL West, the Colorado Rockies project to win 74.5 games but face a line of 79.5 wins. The computer thinks there’s value there.
NL Win Totals Value Picks
Reds – Under 73.5
Mets – UNDER 89.5
Rockies – UNDER 89.5
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