Written by AccuScore Staff
The MLB wild card races are reaching their climax, as only a few weeks remain in the season.
Even though there are still close to 20 games left, every game in September means that slight bit more. As AccuScore’s computer believes that Oakland will easily claim one American League wild card slot, the struggle for the second wildcard spot is basically a three-way race: Detroit and Kansas City are fighting to claim the AL Central division, and the loser will join Seattle in the race to claim last Wild Card spot.
AccuScore’s projections gives all of these three teams 88 to 89 wins at the end of the season. In the best position right now with 77% probability to make postseason is Detroit. Related, the Tigers have a 62% probability to win the AL Central. At the moment, Seattle has the edge on Kansas City with a 63% chance at clinching the second wild card. Even if Seattle doesn’t celebrate on the baseball diamond, at least the Seahawks’ recent Super Bowl and strong start to 2014 offers some consolation. With 55% probability to make playoffs, Kansas City currently trials the American League wild card chase.
In the National League, San Francisco appears to have all but locked up one wild card spot. Milwaukee got off to a flying start this season, but a miserable 1-9 record from last 10 games has put the Brewers into a fighting position for their postseason lives. The race for the last wild card position is a race between Atlanta, Pittsburgh and Milwaukee. AccuScore forecasts it to be tight until the very end of the season. Even though Pittsburgh leads the field, the difference is only half a game. Still, AccuScore predicts that the Pirates have more than a 77% chance to make playoffs. Atlanta is projected to finish 3 games behind Pittsburgh, and Atlanta only has a 14% chance at the postseason entering the final stretch of the season.
For regularly updated playoff probabilities and season projections, visit AccuScore’s Baseball Season Probabilities
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