NFL Wild Card 2016: Saturday's Picks

Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs

On the season, AccuScore is 12-4 in games involving Kansas City, straight up. For Houston, the computer is 11-5 is picking games on the moneyline. Both those records are better marks than the teams finished with on the season. AccuScore caught Kansas City’s strength before everyone caught wind of how good the Chiefs really were, and the computer still likes Kansas City to come away with a win.



Of the 10,000 simulations the computer performed, Kansas City won 54.9% to edge out the Texans.

Alex Smith projects to pass for 255 yards and finish with a passer rating of 96.3, while Brian Hoyer projected to wrap up at 267 yards but a passer rating of 89.3.

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Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati

AccuScore’s record in picking Cincinnati Bengals games striaght up is 12-4, which comes out to 75%. In Steelers games, the computer’s straight up record is 11-5. Well, on the moneyline, AccuScore says the Bengals beat out the Steelers 53% of the time in simulations.



Ben Roethlisberger is projected to throw for a monstrous 327 yards and at least one touchdown, but A.J. McCarron is projected to be efficient with A.J. Green projected to catch for 82.5 yards. Antonio Brown is projected to catch nine receptions for 131 yards. Still, the Bengals get the slim 53-47 edge in simulations.

Expert’s Best Bet: NFL Wild Card Saturday

AccuScore is 9-5 against the spread with Houston this season and 9-5-2 with Kansas City, so that would normally be a good trend to follow. It still could be, but the best bet and the best value is picking Cincinnati on the moneyline at +134. Cincinnati won 53% of the simulations, and the two points the Steelers are giving may be more juice from a rabid fan base than actually substance in the whole team. Saturday’s pick is Cincinnati on the moneyline.

Please check back later on Thursday afternoon for a preview of Sunday’s Wild Card Games with TWO Best Bets…

Hint: AccuScore highly recommends the 4-star over/under picks for Seattle vs Minnesota and Green Bay versus Minnesota. For starters, AccuScore is 13-2-1 on picking totals for Seattle and 10-4 on picking totals for Minnesota this season: Click Here for NFL Playoffs Spreads and Totals Picks

Related:
AccuScore’s 2016 NFL Playoffs Picks: Full Bracket