September 05, 2025 10:00 AM EST

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons 09/07/2025

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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are a solid favorite with a 62.0% chance to beat the Atlanta Falcons. Bucky Irving is projected for 55.0 rushing yards and a 37.0% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 38.0% of simulations where Atlanta Falcons wins, Michael Penix Jr. averages 1.07 TD passes vs 0.41 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.73 TDs to 0.74 interceptions. Bijan Robinson averages 129.0 rushing yards and 0.86 rushing TDs when Atlanta Falcons wins and 73.0 yards and 0.32 TDs in losses. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers has a 67.0% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 74.0% of the time.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Tampa Bay BuccaneersATS RECORDAtlanta FalconsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 0-0-0All Games 0-0-0No Edge
Road Games 00-00-00Home Games 0-0-0 No Edge
When Favored 0-0-0When Underdog 0-0-0No Edge
Division Opp 0-0-0Division Opp 0-0-0No Edge
Opp No Games PlayedN/AOpp No Games PlayedN/ANo Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Tampa Bay BuccaneersATS RECORDAtlanta FalconsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 10-8-0All Games 6-11-0No Edge
Road Games 50-30-00Home Games 3-6-0 No Edge
When Favored 6-5-0When Underdog 1-4-0No Edge
Division Opp 2-4-0Division Opp 3-3-0No Edge
Opp Under .500 57-45-0Opp .500+ Record 40-102-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tampa Bay BuccaneersO-U-P RECORDAtlanta FalconsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 0-0-0All Totals (O-U-P) 0-0-0No Edge
On Road 0-0-0At Home 0-0-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season 12-6-0All Totals Last Season 8-8-1OVER
On Road Last Season 6-2-0At Home Last Season 4-5-0OVER

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