September 05, 2025 10:00 AM EST

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots 09/07/2025

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Expect a close game with the Las Vegas Raiders winning 44.0% of simulations, and the New England Patriots 55.0% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Las Vegas Raiders commit fewer turnovers in 32.0% of simulations and they go on to win 69.0% when they take care of the ball. The New England Patriots wins 67.0% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Zamir White is averaging 18.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (8.0% chance) then he helps his team win 68%. Rhamondre Stevenson is averaging 54.0 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (14.0% chance) then he helps his team win 79%.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Las Vegas RaidersATS RECORDNew England PatriotsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 0-0-0All Games 0-0-0No Edge
Road Games 00-00-00Home Games 0-0-0 No Edge
When Underdog 0-0-0When Favored 0-0-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 0-0-0Non-Division Opp 0-0-0No Edge
Opp No Games PlayedN/AOpp No Games PlayedN/ANo Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Las Vegas RaidersATS RECORDNew England PatriotsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games 8-9-0All Games 7-9-1No Edge
Road Games 40-50-00Home Games 3-4-0 No Edge
When Underdog 6-8-0When Favored 0-1-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp 6-5-0Non-Division Opp 4-6-1No Edge
Opp Under .500 53-50-0Opp Under .500 55-72-2No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Las Vegas RaidersO-U-P RECORDNew England PatriotsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 0-0-0All Totals (O-U-P) 0-0-0No Edge
On Road 0-0-0At Home 0-0-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season 9-8-0All Totals Last Season 11-6-0OVER
On Road Last Season 4-5-0At Home Last Season 7-1-0OVER

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